Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round 5 match between Clutchain and VP.Future 2 in the Exort Series Main Stage, initially scheduled for May 14 at 11:30AM ET. This market will resolve to "Clutchain" if Clutchain win the match against VP.Future 2. This market will resolve to "VP.Future 2" if VP.Future 2 win the match against Clutchain. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Match Winner | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Map 1 Winner | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Map 2 Winner | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Map Handicap: CC (-1.5) vs VP.Future 2 (+1.5) | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Odd/Even Total Kills | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Odd/Even Total Rounds | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Odd/Even Total Kills | 50% YES | 50% NO |
Round 5 of the Exort Series Main Stage will pit Clutchain against VP.Future 2 in a best-of-three Counter-Strike match on 14 May at 11:30 AM ET. The current orderbook on Polymarket reflects a 50-50 split, indicating substantial uncertainty amongst traders regarding which team will secure the series victory. This even split suggests neither squad commands a clear statistical or form advantage in the eyes of the market at present.
VP.Future 2 operates as Virtus.pro's secondary roster, typically fielding developing talent and players outside the organisation's primary lineup. Clutchain remains a less established entity in competitive Counter-Strike, making direct historical matchup data sparse. When comparable tier-two teams meet in open tournament formats, outcomes often hinge on recent bootcamp preparation, map pool alignment, and individual player momentum rather than organisational pedigree. The 50-50 probability reflects this fundamental parity.
Traders should monitor team roster confirmations and any last-minute substitutions announced before the 11:30 AM ET start, as lineup changes materially affect competitive balance. The settlement window extends to 21:30 UTC on 14 May, providing a seven-hour buffer for match completion; however, technical delays or administrative issues could trigger the 50-50 tiebreak clause if play extends beyond seven days without resolution. Recent ESL and BLAST tournament schedules suggest Exort Series matches typically conclude within scheduled windows, though connectivity issues affecting Eastern European teams have occasionally caused postponements.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://kick.com/exort_en2. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "Counter-Strike: Clutchain vs VP.Future 2 (BO3) - Exort Series Main Stage" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$0 in lifetime turnover and $290 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for esports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://kick.com/exort_en2. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 14 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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