Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round 5 match between BESTIA Academy and Damajuana in the CCT South America Series #1 Group Stage, initially scheduled for May 6 at 6:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "BESTIA Academy" if BESTIA Academy win the match against Damajuana. This market will resolve to "Damajuana" if Damajuana win the match against BESTIA Academy. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Match Winner | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Map 1 Winner | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Map 2 Winner | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Map Handicap: BST.A (-1.5) vs Damajuana (+1.5) | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Odd/Even Total Kills | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Odd/Even Total Rounds | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Odd/Even Total Kills | 100% YES | 0% NO |
BESTIA Academy will face Damajuana in a best-of-three Counter-Strike match during the CCT South America Series #1 Group Stage on 6 May at 6:00PM ET. The current order book on Polymarket reflects a 100% implied probability for BESTIA Academy, suggesting the market is pricing this as a near-certain outcome. This extreme probability typically emerges when one team holds a substantial competitive advantage or when liquidity remains thin enough that early positions dominate price discovery.
BESTIA Academy operates as the established academy roster within the broader BESTIA organisation, which competes in South American Counter-Strike. Damajuana represents a smaller regional competitor. Historical precedent in CCT South America tournaments shows academy rosters from established organisations typically command significant skill differentials over independent or less-resourced teams, particularly in group stage matches. The 100% probability aligns with patterns seen when academy teams face substantially lower-ranked opposition, though such extreme pricing often reflects limited order book depth rather than genuine certainty.
Traders should monitor whether the match proceeds as scheduled on 6 May, as delays beyond seven days trigger a 50-50 resolution. Fixture confirmations and any roster changes from either team warrant attention, though BESTIA Academy's organisational stability makes significant disruptions unlikely. The settlement window closes 7 May at 04:00 UTC, providing a narrow window for match completion. Current pricing leaves minimal margin for alternative outcomes, making this market primarily relevant for those seeking exposure to match completion risk rather than competitive uncertainty.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://kick.com/cct_cs2. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "Counter-Strike: BESTIA Academy vs Damajuana (BO3) - CCT South America Series #1 Group Stage" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$47K in lifetime turnover and $0 of resting liquidity puts this market in the above the median by volume for esports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://kick.com/cct_cs2. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 7 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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