Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the Counter-Strike Winners match between Brute and FC Famalicão Esports in the CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #2 Group C, initially scheduled for May 15 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Brute" if Brute win the match against FC Famalicão Esports. This market will resolve to "FC Famalicão Esports" if FC Famalicão Esports win the match against Brute. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Match Winner | 84% YES | 17% NO |
| Map 1 Winner | 67% YES | 33% NO |
| Map 2 Winner | 74% YES | 27% NO |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 40% YES | 61% NO |
| Map Handicap: BRUTE (-1.5) vs FC Famalicão Esports (+1.5) | 59% YES | 42% NO |
| Odd/Even Total Kills | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Odd/Even Total Rounds | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Odd/Even Total Kills | 50% YES | 50% NO |
Brute face FC Famalicão Esports in a Counter-Strike best-of-three match within the CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #2 Group C, scheduled for 15 May at 10:00 AM ET. The winner advances through the group stage of this regional qualifying tournament. The current order book on Polymarket reflects an 83% implied probability for Brute, suggesting the market views them as clear favourites in this matchup. Settlement occurs at 20:00 UTC on 15 May, allowing approximately ten hours post-match for result confirmation.
Brute's standing in Portuguese esports and their recent performance in CCT qualifiers provide context for the probability skew. FC Famalicão Esports, whilst an established organisation, has historically struggled against higher-tier Portuguese and European competition in similar formats. Comparable CCT Europe matches involving established squads versus emerging regional teams typically settle with 75–85% probabilities favouring the established side, placing this market's current price within expected ranges for such pairings.
Traders should monitor official CCT Europe announcements regarding any schedule changes or roster modifications before the settlement window closes. Technical issues or match delays extending beyond seven days trigger a 50-50 resolution per market rules. Confirmation of both teams' final lineups and any last-minute substitutions would constitute material information affecting the probability, though such changes rarely occur within 24 hours of scheduled play in established qualifier formats.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://kick.com/cct_cs2. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "Counter-Strike: Brute vs FC Famalicão Esports (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #2 Group C" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$3K in lifetime turnover and $9K of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for esports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
Last 24 hours alone saw $3K in turnover, well above the lifetime daily-average for this market — a clear sign of news catalysing trader activity right now.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://kick.com/cct_cs2. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 15 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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