Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the Counter-Strike Lower bracket quarterfinal 2 match between Atreides and The Last Resort in the CCT Europe Challengers Series Playoffs, initially scheduled for May 8 at 7:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Atreides" if Atreides win the match against The Last Resort. This market will resolve to "The Last Resort" if The Last Resort win the match against Atreides. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Match Winner | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Map 1 Winner | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Map 2 Winner | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Map Handicap: Atreides (-1.5) vs The Last Resort (+1.5) | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Odd/Even Total Kills | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Odd/Even Total Rounds | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Odd/Even Total Kills | 100% YES | 0% NO |
Atreides and The Last Resort are scheduled to contest a lower bracket quarterfinal match in the CCT Europe Challengers Series Playoffs on 8 May at 07:00 ET, playing a best-of-three series. The current orderbook on Polymarket reflects a 100% implied probability for Atreides, indicating the market has priced in an overwhelming expectation of their victory. This extreme probability typically emerges when one team holds a substantial competitive advantage or when the opposing team's participation status remains uncertain.
The CCT Europe Challengers circuit has historically featured significant variance in match outcomes, particularly in lower bracket fixtures where roster stability and recent form diverge considerably. Comparable lower bracket matchups in regional European Counter-Strike tournaments have occasionally settled at probabilities exceeding 95%, though these have occasionally resolved contrary to market expectations when teams field unexpected lineups or when individual player performance deviates from baseline expectations. The 100% reading here suggests either substantial pre-match information asymmetry or genuine uncertainty about The Last Resort's ability to compete.
Traders should monitor official CCT announcements regarding roster confirmations, any last-minute substitutions, or scheduling changes through the tournament's official channels and team social media accounts. The settlement window closes at 17:00 UTC on 8 May, providing approximately ten hours post-scheduled start time for match completion. Any delays extending beyond 7 May without resolution would trigger a 50-50 settlement, creating tail-risk exposure for positions currently priced at extremes.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://kick.com/cct_cs3. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "Counter-Strike: Atreides vs The Last Resort (BO3) - CCT Europe Challengers Series Playoffs" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$19K in lifetime turnover and $0 of resting liquidity puts this market in the around the median by volume for esports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://kick.com/cct_cs3. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 8 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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