Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market will resolve to "Up" if the XRP price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Chainlink, specifically the XRP/USD data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/xrp-usd. Please note that this market is about the price according to Chainlink data stream XRP/USD, not according to other sources or spot markets.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| XRP Up or Down - June 2, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET | 100% YES | 0% NO |
This market tracks whether XRP's price on the Chainlink XRP/USD data stream will be higher or equal at 9:00AM ET on 2 June 2026 compared to 8:55AM ET that same morning. The five-minute window captures intraday volatility during US morning trading hours, when institutional participation typically increases. Settlement relies exclusively on Chainlink's oracle feed rather than spot exchange prices, which can occasionally diverge due to latency or data aggregation differences.
The current 100% implied probability reflects extreme confidence in an upward or flat five-minute move, a positioning that warrants scrutiny given XRP's historical intraday behaviour. Over comparable five-minute windows during normal market conditions, XRP has demonstrated roughly balanced directional outcomes, with slight upward bias during US morning hours when European markets close and US traders initiate positions. The orderbook's current depth and bid-ask spread will determine whether this probability persists or shifts as the settlement window approaches.
Traders should monitor XRP's overnight performance in Asian and European sessions leading into the 8:55AM ET window, as gap moves frequently establish momentum that persists into early US trading. Regulatory announcements regarding Ripple or broader crypto policy could trigger volatility, though no major scheduled events are currently flagged for early June 2026. The Chainlink feed's update frequency and any potential data delays during high-volume periods represent technical dependencies worth verifying before execution, particularly given the narrow five-minute resolution window where even minor slippage affects settlement outcomes.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://data.chain.link/streams/xrp-usd. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "XRP Up or Down - June 2, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
As of today, traders on Polymarket price this outcome at 100%. The number updates continuously as the order book clears. PolyGram mirrors the same live odds with locale-aware formatting and USDC settlement.
Resolution is sourced from https://data.chain.link/streams/xrp-usd. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 2 June 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
Explore more prediction market odds and trading opportunities on PolyGram: