Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market will resolve to "Up" if the Hyperliquid price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Chainlink, specifically the HYPE/USD data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/hype-usd. Please note that this market is about the price according to Chainlink data stream HYPE/USD, not according to other sources or spot markets.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 3, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET | 100% YES | 0% NO |
This market tracks whether Hyperliquid's price will move upward or remain flat during a five-minute window on 3 June between 11:15 and 11:20 AM Eastern Time, as measured by Chainlink's HYPE/USD data feed. The 100% implied probability reflects the current orderbook state on Polymarket, where traders are pricing in near-certainty of an up or flat outcome. Such extreme probabilities in short-duration price windows typically indicate either very thin liquidity on the ask side or a genuine consensus view among active traders at this moment.
Intraday five-minute price movements in crypto assets are heavily influenced by microstructure dynamics rather than fundamental catalysts. Historical precedent shows that ultra-short windows on established tokens rarely resolve to clear directional moves; most five-minute intervals close near their opening price or within 1–2% variance. The current 100% probability suggests either minimal capital committed to the "Down" side or technical factors pushing the orderbook to an extreme. Comparable short-duration markets on major cryptocurrencies typically see probabilities cluster between 45–55% unless there is scheduled volatility such as exchange listings or major announcements.
Traders should monitor whether any Hyperliquid protocol updates, exchange listings, or broader market moves occur during the settlement window. Chainlink's HYPE/USD feed aggregates prices from multiple venues, so liquidity fragmentation across exchanges could create divergence between spot prices and the resolution source. The five-minute specificity makes this market sensitive to order flow timing rather than macro sentiment.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://data.chain.link/streams/hype-usd. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 3, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
As of today, traders on Polymarket price this outcome at 100%. The number updates continuously as the order book clears. PolyGram mirrors the same live odds with locale-aware formatting and USDC settlement.
Resolution is sourced from https://data.chain.link/streams/hype-usd. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 3 June 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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