Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market will resolve to "Up" if the Hyperliquid price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Chainlink, specifically the HYPE/USD data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/hype-usd. Please note that this market is about the price according to Chainlink data stream HYPE/USD, not according to other sources or spot markets.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 2, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET | 100% YES | 0% NO |
This market settles based on whether Hyperliquid's price on the Chainlink HYPE/USD data stream closes higher or at the same level on 2 June between 7:55pm and 8:00pm ET compared to its opening price at 7:55pm. The five-minute window captures a specific snapshot during US evening trading hours, when crypto volatility typically remains elevated but lower than Asian market sessions. Settlement relies exclusively on Chainlink's oracle feed rather than spot exchange prices, which occasionally diverge due to latency or liquidity variations across venues.
The 100% implied probability on Polymarket's order book reflects extreme confidence in an upward or flat close, suggesting either minimal expected downside volatility during this window or a structural imbalance in market participation. Historical five-minute crypto price movements rarely show such certainty; even in low-volatility periods, typical intraday swings create meaningful probability distributions. The current pricing indicates either strong directional conviction amongst traders or insufficient liquidity depth to challenge the consensus, both worth scrutinising before committing capital.
Traders should monitor Hyperliquid's broader market activity in the hours preceding settlement, including any protocol announcements or significant liquidation cascades on the exchange itself. Recent crypto market conditions have shown increased correlation with Bitcoin's intraday momentum, particularly during US evening hours when institutional trading desks remain active. Any unexpected news regarding the exchange's operations or broader market stress could shift prices materially within the five-minute window, though the current probability suggests such moves are priced as negligible by current market participants.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://data.chain.link/streams/hype-usd. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 2, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
As of today, traders on Polymarket price this outcome at 100%. The number updates continuously as the order book clears. PolyGram mirrors the same live odds with locale-aware formatting and USDC settlement.
Resolution is sourced from https://data.chain.link/streams/hype-usd. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 3 June 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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