Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to which team hits the greater number of sixes in the cricket match between England and India scheduled for 2026-05-30 in T20 Series England vs. India, Women. This market resolves according to the finalized match statistics as published by https://www.espncricinfo.com/. The outcome corresponding to England will be considered correct if England is officially recorded as hitting more sixes than India.The outcome corresponding to India will be considered correct if India is officially recorded as hitting more sixes than England. If both teams record the same number of sixes, the market will resolve to "Draw".
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| GBR3 | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Draw | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| IND3 | 0% YES | 100% NO |
England and India's women's T20 sides will contest a match on 30 May 2026, with this market determining which team strikes more sixes. The current order book on Polymarket reflects a 100% implied probability for YES, indicating the market is pricing certainty that at least one team will hit more sixes than the other—a near-inevitable outcome given the format's explosive batting patterns. This extreme probability suggests minimal liquidity or a technical artefact rather than genuine market conviction about the relative hitting prowess of either side.
Women's T20 cricket has evolved substantially toward aggressive batting over the past five years, with both England and India regularly recording double-digit six counts in bilateral series. England's recent T20 campaigns have featured consistent power-hitting from opening batters, whilst India's middle order has developed particular potency in the format. Historical head-to-head records show neither side has a decisive edge in six-hitting frequency, though match conditions—pitch behaviour, boundary dimensions, and powerplay field restrictions—typically prove more determinative than team identity.
Traders should monitor squad announcements closer to the match date, particularly the availability of key batters known for aggressive strike rotation. Weather forecasts for the venue will influence boundary carry and thus six likelihood. Recent form in domestic T20 competitions and any injury updates released by the England and India cricket boards in the weeks preceding 30 May will provide concrete data for reassessing the current extreme probability, which appears to lack meaningful differentiation between the two outcomes.
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This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.espncricinfo.com/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "T20 Series England vs. India, Women: England vs India - Most Sixes" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$30 in lifetime turnover and $0 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for cricket contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.espncricinfo.com/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 6 June 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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