Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to which team's player records the highest individual run total in the cricket match between China and Indonesia scheduled for 2026-05-26 in T20 Asian Games, Women, Qualifier. This market resolves according to the finalized match statistics as published by https://www.espncricinfo.com/. The outcome corresponding to China will be considered correct if the highest individual score in the match is recorded exclusively by a player from China. The outcome corresponding to Indonesia will be considered correct if the highest individual score is recorded exclusively by a player from Indonesia.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Draw | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| CHN | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| IDN | 100% YES | 0% NO |
The T20 Asian Games Women's Qualifier match between China and Indonesia on 26 May 2026 will determine which team's player records the highest individual batting score. The market currently shows 0% implied probability for China's top batter, reflecting Polymarket's order book positioning where traders have priced the outcome at the extreme. This pricing suggests either overwhelming confidence in Indonesia's batting depth or minimal liquidity at the China end of the book, typical for niche cricket markets with limited trading activity.
Historical context for women's T20 cricket in Asia shows significant variance in individual batting performances depending on opposition strength and pitch conditions. China's women's cricket programme has developed considerably but remains less established than several regional competitors, whilst Indonesia similarly operates at the emerging tier of Asian women's cricket. Previous qualifier tournaments have seen top-order batters from stronger programmes consistently post the match-high scores, though upsets occur when lower-ranked teams field experienced individual performers.
Key catalysts for market movement include confirmation of final squad selections, which typically emerge two weeks before tournament play, and any late injury announcements affecting either team's batting lineup. Weather forecasts for the match venue become relevant in the final week, as conditions affect scoring patterns in T20 formats. Traders should monitor official Asian Cricket Council announcements regarding the tournament schedule and venue details, as these remain subject to confirmation closer to the June settlement window.
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This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.espncricinfo.com/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "T20 Asian Games, Women, Qualifier: China vs Indonesia - Team Top Batter" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$593 in lifetime turnover and $0 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for cricket contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.espncricinfo.com/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 2 June 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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