Trade: 2026 Grand Chess Tour: Super Chess Classic Romania Winner
Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 Grand Chess Tour Super Rapid & Blitz Poland tournament scheduled for May 12 - May 24, 2026. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 Grand Chess Tour Super Rapid & Blitz Poland tournament per the rules of the Grand Chess Tour, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 Grand Chess Tour Super Rapid & Blitz Poland tournament is cancelled, postponed, or partially completed after June 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
- Liquidity
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- Total Volume
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- 24h Volume
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- Open Interest
- $5
Market outcomes
| Fabiano Caruana | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Vincent Keymer | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Alireza Firouzja | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Anish Giri | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Wesley So | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Praggnanandhaa Rameshbabu | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Maxime Vachier-Lagrave | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Javokhir Sindarov | 50% YES | 50% NO |
Market context
The Grand Chess Tour's Super Rapid & Blitz Poland tournament runs 12–24 May 2026, with the winner determined across rapid (25 minutes plus increment) and blitz (5 minutes plus increment) formats. The current orderbook on Polymarket prices the YES side at 50%, reflecting genuine uncertainty about which elite player will emerge victorious in a condensed, high-variance format where preparation and mental stamina matter as much as pure strength.
Historical Super Rapid & Blitz events show these tournaments favour players with exceptional practical play and composure under time pressure rather than classical specialists. Magnus Carlsen has dominated recent iterations, but the format's volatility means secondary contenders—Fabiano Caruana, Ding Liren, Alireza Firouzja—regularly challenge for top finishes. The 50% probability suggests the market views the field as genuinely competitive, with no single favourite commanding consensus.
Key catalysts include the official Grand Chess Tour schedule confirmation, player withdrawal announcements (illness, scheduling conflicts), and any format changes closer to May 2026. The settlement window closes 25 May, giving organisers a tight deadline to declare a winner; any cancellation or postponement beyond 7 June 2026 triggers a "No" resolution. Traders should monitor Grand Chess Tour communications and player availability updates through spring 2026, as injuries or tour restructuring could reshape odds significantly.
Wikipedia Context
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Grand Chess Tour 2023The Grand Chess Tour 2023 was a series of chess tournaments, which was the eighth edition of the Grand Chess Tour. It consisted of five tournaments with a total prize pool of US$1.4 million, including two tournaments with classical time control and three tournaments with faster time controls.
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Grand Chess Tour 2024The Grand Chess Tour 2024 was a series of chess tournaments, which was the ninth edition of the Grand Chess Tour. It consisted of five tournaments with a total prize pool of US$1.4 million, including two tournaments with classical time control and three tournaments with faster time controls.
How this market resolves
Resolution is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if no one stakes a counter-claim the payout is final. Contested outcomes escalate to UMA token-holder voting. Payouts clear in USDC to the winning side.
How to trade this market step by step
The mechanics for trading "2026 Grand Chess Tour: Super Chess Classic Romania Winner" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
- Sign in on polygram.ink with your email — no full KYC under $1,500 lifetime trading volume.
- Deposit USDC on Polygon (lowest fees, ~$0.01 per transaction) or Ethereum. Funds credit after 12 confirmations.
- Pick a side. Buy YES if you believe the event will happen; buy NO if you think it won't. The current YES price reflects the market's collective probability.
- Size your position. If you stake 100 USDC at 50% YES, you'll receive shares that pay $200 if YES resolves true — a 100% gross return. If NO resolves, your shares are worth $0.
- Set risk controls (optional). Stop-loss, take-profit, and limit-order types all supported. Use the trade ticket's slippage box to cap your maximum entry price.
- Wait for resolution. When the event resolves on-chain via the UMA optimistic oracle, the winning side settles to 100¢ automatically and USDC hits your balance within seconds. Withdrawable to any wallet you control.
Key terms
- YES / NO share
- A binary outcome token that pays $1.00 if the underlying claim resolves true (YES) or false (NO), and $0 otherwise. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- CLOB
- Central limit order book. The matching engine that pairs YES buyers with NO buyers (effectively the same trade). Polymarket's CLOB on Polygon executes trades on-chain via the conditional-tokens framework.
- Liquidity
- USDC capital sitting in resting limit orders inside the order book. Deeper liquidity means smaller slippage on large trades and a tighter bid-ask spread.
- UMA optimistic oracle
- The on-chain dispute system that settles each Polymarket market. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution.
- Slippage
- The difference between the displayed mid-price and your fill price. Affects market orders most; limit orders avoid slippage but may take time to fill.
- Conditional token
- ERC-1155 outcome share issued by Gnosis Conditional Tokens on Polygon. The token type that resolves to $1.00 or $0.00 at settlement.
Frequently asked questions
How does this market resolve?
Resolution is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a 2-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested the payout is final. Contested outcomes escalate to UMA token holders.
When does this market close?
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 25 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
How can I trade on "2026 Grand Chess Tour: Super Chess Classic Romania Winner"?
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
What happens when the market resolves?
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Risk and regulatory note
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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