Trade: Will 21 Savage be featured on Drake's new album?
Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market will resolve to "Yes" if 21 Savage is featured on Drake's album "Iceman". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". To qualify as "featured", 21 Savage must be credited on at least one song on the album according to at least one major streaming platform: namely Spotify, Apple Music, Amazon Music, or YouTube Music. If the album fails to release by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source of this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
- Liquidity
- $39
- Total Volume
- $218
- 24h Volume
- —
- Open Interest
- $110
Market outcomes
| Will 21 Savage be featured on Drake's new album? | 73% YES | 27% NO |
Market context
Drake's forthcoming album "Iceman" presents a question about whether 21 Savage will receive a featured credit on at least one track. The market currently reflects a 73% implied probability of this occurring, as priced across Polymarket's order book. Settlement hinges on official crediting across major streaming platforms—Spotify, Apple Music, Amazon Music, or YouTube Music—by the 31 December 2026 deadline. Should the album fail to materialise within this window, the market resolves to "No".
Historical precedent suggests collaborations between Drake and 21 Savage carry meaningful probability. The pair have worked together previously, most notably on "Sneakin'" (2016) and "Knife Talk" (2021), establishing a track record of professional rapport. Drake's recent albums have featured numerous guest artists; "Certified Lover Boy" (2021) included 21 Savage on "Knife Talk", whilst "Scorpion" (2018) showcased his willingness to distribute features across established collaborators. The 73% probability reflects market confidence in continued partnership, though not certainty.
Traders should monitor official announcements regarding "Iceman"'s release date and tracklist, which typically emerge weeks before launch. Drake's announcement patterns and any public statements from either artist about collaboration plans will serve as primary catalysts. The album's production timeline and any leaked or previewed material could shift market pricing materially. Additionally, broader hip-hop industry developments affecting either artist's schedule or priorities warrant attention through the settlement window.
Wikipedia Context
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21 SavageShéyaa Bin Abraham-Joseph, known professionally as 21 Savage, is a British-born rapper based in Atlanta, Georgia. Born in London and raised in the US, he began his recording career in 2013 and released three independent mixtapes to regional acclaim. His breakout project—the collaborative extended play (EP) with record producer Metro Boomin titled Savage Mode
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21 Savage discography
The discography of 21 Savage, a British-American rapper, consists of four studio albums, three collaborative albums, three mixtapes, three extended plays, and 33 singles. His first collaborative extended play with Metro Boomin, Savage Mode (2016), had reached at number 23 on the Billboard 200, marking his first project to chart. It also produced the Billboar
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Bank Account (song)"Bank Account" is a song by British-American rapper 21 Savage. Written and produced alongside Metro Boomin, it was released as the lead single of 21 Savage's debut studio album, Issa Album, on August 8, 2017. A music video, directed by Matthew Swinsky, was released on November 10, 2017. The song contains a sample from the soundtrack album of The Education of
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.250-3000 SavageThe .250-3000 Savage / 6.5x48mm is a rifle cartridge created by Charles Newton in 1915. It was designed to be used in the Savage Model 99 hammerless lever action rifle. The name comes from its original manufacturer, Savage Arms, and the fact that the original load achieved a 3,000 ft/s (910 m/s) velocity with an 87 grain bullet.
How this market resolves
Resolution is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if no one stakes a counter-claim the payout is final. Contested outcomes escalate to UMA token-holder voting. Payouts clear in USDC to the winning side.
How to trade this market step by step
The mechanics for trading "Will 21 Savage be featured on Drake's new album?" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
- Sign in on polygram.ink with your email — no full KYC under $1,500 lifetime trading volume.
- Deposit USDC on Polygon (lowest fees, ~$0.01 per transaction) or Ethereum. Funds credit after 12 confirmations.
- Pick a side. Buy YES if you believe the event will happen; buy NO if you think it won't. The current YES price reflects the market's collective probability.
- Size your position. If you stake 100 USDC at 73% YES, you'll receive shares that pay $137 if YES resolves true — a 37% gross return. If NO resolves, your shares are worth $0.
- Set risk controls (optional). Stop-loss, take-profit, and limit-order types all supported. Use the trade ticket's slippage box to cap your maximum entry price.
- Wait for resolution. When the event resolves on-chain via the UMA optimistic oracle, the winning side settles to 100¢ automatically and USDC hits your balance within seconds. Withdrawable to any wallet you control.
How active is this market?
$218 in lifetime turnover and $39 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for celebrities contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Key terms
- YES / NO share
- A binary outcome token that pays $1.00 if the underlying claim resolves true (YES) or false (NO), and $0 otherwise. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- CLOB
- Central limit order book. The matching engine that pairs YES buyers with NO buyers (effectively the same trade). Polymarket's CLOB on Polygon executes trades on-chain via the conditional-tokens framework.
- Liquidity
- USDC capital sitting in resting limit orders inside the order book. Deeper liquidity means smaller slippage on large trades and a tighter bid-ask spread.
- UMA optimistic oracle
- The on-chain dispute system that settles each Polymarket market. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution.
- Slippage
- The difference between the displayed mid-price and your fill price. Affects market orders most; limit orders avoid slippage but may take time to fill.
- Conditional token
- ERC-1155 outcome share issued by Gnosis Conditional Tokens on Polygon. The token type that resolves to $1.00 or $0.00 at settlement.
Frequently asked questions
What is the current probability for "Will 21 Savage be featured on Drake's new album?"?
As of today, traders on Polymarket price this outcome at 73%. The number updates continuously as the order book clears. PolyGram mirrors the same live odds with locale-aware formatting and USDC settlement.
How does this market resolve?
Resolution is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a 2-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested the payout is final. Contested outcomes escalate to UMA token holders.
When does this market close?
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 31 December 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
How can I trade on "Will 21 Savage be featured on Drake's new album?"?
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
What happens when the market resolves?
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Risk and regulatory note
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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