Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market will resolve "Yes" if, during Benjamin Netanyahu’s General Debate address to the UN General Assembly, he raises a physical object bearing an image, map, chart, graphic, or text toward the audience or camera. Otherwise, this market will resolve "No." Netanyahu must raise the object himself and hold it so that its content faces the audience or the camera. Briefly lifting, adjusting, or gesturing with papers while reading will not count. Speech notes, printed remarks read from the podium, and worn items (pins, flags, clothing) will not qualify. Images shown on screens or displays in the hall will not qualify.
Geopolitical markets aggregate signals from journalists, analysts, and locals - often pricing in news days before mainstream outlets report it. Current odds favour the YES side at 78%, making this a directional market resolving today, backed by $11K of resting liquidity.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake - winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Will Netanyahu use a visual aid during his UNGA speech? | 78% YES | 23% NO |
Will Netanyahu use a visual aid during his UNGA speech?. The market is currently pricing the outcome at 78% YES, meaning crowd-implied probability sits at that level. Settlement is scheduled for 2026-09-25T03:59:00Z. Unlike a sportsbook, the price you see is set by buyers and sellers competing in a live order book — there is no house edge or bookmaker margin to fade.
World-affairs prediction markets price discrete geopolitical outcomes — ceasefires, treaty signings, leadership transitions — and tend to drift on rumour and snap-correct on official announcements.
Watch for the underlying catalysts that move this category: each official announcement, dataset release, or scheduled milestone generally produces a step change in the implied probability. Trades execute instantly on Polygon, and shares pay $1 each at resolution if your side wins.
Resolution is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if no one stakes a counter-claim the payout is final. Contested outcomes escalate to UMA token-holder voting. Payouts clear in USDC to the winning side.
For this market, the resolution date is 25 September 2026. A UMA proposer can submit the outcome from that moment; the two-hour dispute window closes at , and assuming no counter-claim is staked, winning USDC clears to trader balances by approximately .
If a dispute is filed inside the two-hour window, the outcome escalates to UMA token-holder voting, which extends settlement by roughly 48 hours. This particular market has no public resolution feed listed; disputes here are more likely if the underlying outcome is subject to interpretation, in which case the UMA token-vote arbitrates the wording of the original market question.
Geopolitical markets sometimes see longer dispute windows because resolution sources can be contested (e.g. competing official announcements). PolyGram pre-screens the resolution source on listing to minimise ambiguity. Funds clear directly to your in-app USDC balance on Polygon. Withdrawals are non-custodial: send to any address you control, typical confirmation under 30 seconds, gas paid in USDC if you'd rather not hold MATIC.
Minimum order size on PolyGram is $1.00, with no maximum cap aside from available book depth. Orders route into Polymarket's on-chain CLOB on Polygon; the matching engine pairs YES buyers with NO buyers atomically - every executed trade is settled on-chain with no counterparty risk. For "Will Netanyahu use a visual aid during his UNGA speech?", geopolitical markets often have stickier spreads (3-7¢) reflecting the genuine uncertainty in the underlying outcome - patient limit orders fill at meaningfully better prices than market orders.
The trade ticket includes a slippage box (default 2%, configurable 0.1%-10%) that caps the worst-case entry price. At the current YES price of 78%, a $100 stake on YES buys roughly 128 shares; if YES resolves true those shares pay out at $1.00 each (a $128 gross payout, or +$28 profit). If NO resolves, the shares are worth $0. Slippage tolerance and resting-order depth determine the actual fill.
PolyGram charges 0% house edge - no spread mark-up, no rake on winnings, no withdrawal fees beyond network gas. The platform earns exclusively from optional features (copy-trade boosts, advanced order types, the yield vault on idle USDC); the trading surface itself is at-cost.
The mechanics for trading "Will Netanyahu use a visual aid during his UNGA speech?" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$12K in lifetime turnover and $11K of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for world contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin - large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
Last 24 hours alone saw $11K in turnover, well above the lifetime daily-average for this market - a clear sign of news catalysing trader activity right now.
The market has been open for under a month - fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery - meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
As of today, traders on Polymarket price this outcome at 78%. The number updates continuously as the order book clears. PolyGram mirrors the same live odds with locale-aware formatting and USDC settlement.
Resolution is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a 2-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested the payout is final. Contested outcomes escalate to UMA token holders.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 25 September 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake - there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon - a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition - historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose. For "Will Netanyahu use a visual aid during his UNGA speech?", the considerations above apply directly - Geopolitical markets carry resolution risk: in rare cases the underlying event itself may be reinterpreted or the resolution source may publish ambiguously, triggering a UMA dispute. Avoid all-in positions on these markets.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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