Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the tennis match between Federica Urgesi and Viktorija Golubic in the Parma, originally scheduled for May 13, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Federica Urgesi' if Federica Urgesi advances against Viktorija Golubic. This market will resolve to 'Viktorija Golubic' if Viktorija Golubic advances against Federica Urgesi. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Parma: Federica Urgesi vs Viktorija Golubic | 40% YES | 61% NO |
| Completed Match | 50% YES | 50% NO |
Federica Urgesi and Viktorija Golubic are scheduled to meet in the first round of the WTA 1000 event in Parma on 13 May 2026. The current order book on Polymarket prices Urgesi's advancement at 40 per cent, implying Golubic is favoured at 60 per cent. This pricing reflects the Swiss player's superior ranking and recent form, though the Italian home-court advantage for Urgesi carries some weight in early-round clay-court matchups.
Golubic has maintained a top-100 ranking consistently over recent seasons, whilst Urgesi, an Italian domestic prospect, typically competes at lower tour levels. Head-to-head records between players of this ranking differential historically favour the higher-ranked player in roughly 65–70 per cent of first-round encounters on clay. Golubic's experience in WTA 1000 events and proven ability to navigate opening rounds against unseeded opponents provides a structural edge that the market's 60–40 split reasonably captures.
Traders should monitor entry lists and any late withdrawals through the week of 12 May, as injury scratches are common in the lead-up to clay-court events. Weather conditions in Parma—particularly rain delays—could affect scheduling and player preparation. Court surface conditions at the Emilia-Romagna Open, which favour baseline rallies, will suit Golubic's defensive game more than Urgesi's attacking style. The settlement window closes 20 May at 08:00 UTC, allowing seven days for completion; any cancellation or unfinished match beyond that date triggers a 50–50 resolution.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.wtatennis.com/scores. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "Parma: Federica Urgesi vs Viktorija Golubic" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$0 in lifetime turnover and $6K of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for tennis contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.wtatennis.com/scores. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 20 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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