Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the tennis match between Alice Tubello and Carole Monnet in the Foggia, originally scheduled for June 2, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Alice Tubello' if Alice Tubello advances against Carole Monnet. This market will resolve to 'Carole Monnet' if Carole Monnet advances against Alice Tubello. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Foggia: Alice Tubello vs Carole Monnet | 34% YES | 67% NO |
| Completed Match | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Foggia: Alice Tubello vs Carole Monnet Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 100% YES | 1% NO |
| Foggia: Alice Tubello vs Carole Monnet Match O/U 22.5 | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Foggia: Alice Tubello vs Carole Monnet Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 1% YES | 100% NO |
| Foggia: Alice Tubello vs Carole Monnet Set 1 Winner | 1% YES | 100% NO |
| Foggia: Alice Tubello vs Carole Monnet Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 70% YES | 50% NO |
| Foggia: Alice Tubello vs Carole Monnet Match O/U 21.5 | 50% YES | 50% NO |
Alice Tubello and Carole Monnet are scheduled to meet in the Foggia tournament on 2 June 2026 at 5:00 AM ET. The current order book on Polymarket reflects a 67% implied probability for Tubello's advancement, suggesting the market views her as a clear favourite in this matchup. Settlement occurs on 9 June 2026, allowing a seven-day window for the match to conclude; any cancellation, tie, or delay beyond that threshold triggers a 50-50 resolution.
Tubello's ranking advantage and recent form typically anchor such probabilities in lower-tier WTA events. Comparable Foggia matches involving seeded players against unseeded opponents have historically settled near 65–75% for the favourite, depending on surface preference and recent tournament results. Monnet's record against similarly ranked opponents provides the baseline for assessing whether the current 67% fairly captures the competitive gap or reflects overconfidence in Tubello's consistency.
Traders should monitor official WTA scheduling confirmations and any injury announcements in the fortnight before the match. Surface conditions at Foggia—clay court play—favour certain playing styles; recent ITF or lower-tier results from both players on clay will sharpen probability estimates. Weather delays are common in early June Italian tournaments, though the seven-day buffer provides substantial protection against the tie-resolution clause. Any late withdrawals or draw changes would shift the order book materially.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.wtatennis.com/scores. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "Foggia: Alice Tubello vs Carole Monnet" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$24K in lifetime turnover and $135K of resting liquidity puts this market in the around the median by volume for tennis contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is exceptional — among the deepest order books in the category.
Last 24 hours alone saw $24K in turnover, well above the lifetime daily-average for this market — a clear sign of news catalysing trader activity right now.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.wtatennis.com/scores. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 9 June 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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