Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the tennis match between Lisa Pigato and Lucia Bronzetti in the Parma, originally scheduled for May 11, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Lisa Pigato' if Lisa Pigato advances against Lucia Bronzetti. This market will resolve to 'Lucia Bronzetti' if Lucia Bronzetti advances against Lisa Pigato. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Parma: Lisa Pigato vs Lucia Bronzetti | 62% YES | 39% NO |
| Completed Match | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Parma: Lisa Pigato vs Lucia Bronzetti Match O/U 21.5 | 47% YES | 54% NO |
| Parma: Lisa Pigato vs Lucia Bronzetti Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 66% YES | 34% NO |
| Parma: Lisa Pigato vs Lucia Bronzetti Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 37% YES | 63% NO |
| Parma: Lisa Pigato vs Lucia Bronzetti Set 1 Winner | 59% YES | 41% NO |
| Parma: Lisa Pigato vs Lucia Bronzetti Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 21% YES | 79% NO |
| Parma: Lisa Pigato vs Lucia Bronzetti Match O/U 22.5 | 41% YES | 60% NO |
Lisa Pigato and Lucia Bronzetti are scheduled to meet in the Parma tournament on 11 May 2026. The match represents a domestic Italian fixture on the WTA calendar, with settlement contingent on a completed match result by 18 May 2026. The current order book on Polymarket reflects 61% implied probability for Pigato, suggesting market participants favour her advancement, though both players operate within similar ranking bands on the professional circuit.
Bronzetti has historically competed in ITF and lower-tier WTA events, whilst Pigato's recent trajectory shows incremental progress through qualifying rounds and secondary tournaments. Direct head-to-head records between Italian players at this level often hinge on surface preference and recent match fitness rather than substantial career divergence. The 39-point probability gap embedded in the current order book indicates moderate confidence in Pigato's chances rather than overwhelming consensus, reflecting genuine competitive uncertainty.
Traders should monitor official WTA scheduling confirmations and any withdrawal announcements in the fortnight preceding 11 May, as fixture changes remain common in spring European tournaments. Surface conditions at Parma—typically clay—favour baseline consistency over serve-dependent play. Recent ITF or WTA 125K results from both players in April 2026 will provide the most reliable form indicators. Any injury reports or late-stage ranking shifts could shift the order book materially, particularly if either player enters the match on a momentum run or following a layoff.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.wtatennis.com/scores. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "Parma: Lisa Pigato vs Lucia Bronzetti" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$1K in lifetime turnover and $33K of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for tennis contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is strong — order books support five-figure trades with single-cent slippage.
Last 24 hours alone saw $1K in turnover, well above the lifetime daily-average for this market — a clear sign of news catalysing trader activity right now.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.wtatennis.com/scores. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 18 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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