Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the tennis match between Chloe Paquet and Nika Radisic in the Foggia, originally scheduled for June 3, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Chloe Paquet' if Chloe Paquet advances against Nika Radisic. This market will resolve to 'Nika Radisic' if Nika Radisic advances against Chloe Paquet. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Foggia: Chloe Paquet vs Nika Radisic | 85% YES | 15% NO |
| Completed Match | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Foggia: Chloe Paquet vs Nika Radisic Match O/U 21.5 | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Foggia: Chloe Paquet vs Nika Radisic Match O/U 22.5 | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Foggia: Chloe Paquet vs Nika Radisic Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Foggia: Chloe Paquet vs Nika Radisic Match O/U 23.5 | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Foggia: Chloe Paquet vs Nika Radisic Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Foggia: Chloe Paquet vs Nika Radisic Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 61% YES | 40% NO |
Chloe Paquet and Nika Radisic are scheduled to meet in the opening rounds of the Foggia tournament on 3 June 2026. The market currently reflects an 84% implied probability for Paquet's advancement, suggesting the order book has priced in a substantial favourite. This probability is being formed across Polymarket's liquidity pools as traders position ahead of the match, with the settlement window closing on 10 June to allow for completion and any scheduling adjustments within the seven-day tolerance.
Paquet, a French player ranked in the lower-to-mid WTA range, has historically shown variable performance on clay courts, though Foggia's surface favours baseline consistency. Radisic, a Serbian competitor, operates at a comparable ranking level but with less established clay-court form. The 84% probability suggests the market has weighted Paquet's recent tournament results or head-to-head record more favourably, though both players occupy a tier where upsets remain plausible. Comparable first-round matches at secondary WTA events typically see probabilities in the 70–85% range when ranking differentials are minimal.
Traders should monitor the official Foggia draw confirmation and any injury announcements in the week preceding 3 June. Weather delays are common on Italian clay in early June, though the seven-day resolution window provides buffer against minor postponements. Recent WTA scheduling updates and either player's performance at warm-up events in late May will offer concrete data points for order book repricing before the match begins.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.wtatennis.com/scores. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "Foggia: Chloe Paquet vs Nika Radisic" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$216 in lifetime turnover and $6K of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for tennis contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
Last 24 hours alone saw $216 in turnover, well above the lifetime daily-average for this market — a clear sign of news catalysing trader activity right now.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.wtatennis.com/scores. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 10 June 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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