Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the tennis match between Katarzyna Kawa and Maya Joint in the Makarska, originally scheduled for June 3, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Katarzyna Kawa' if Katarzyna Kawa advances against Maya Joint. This market will resolve to 'Maya Joint' if Maya Joint advances against Katarzyna Kawa. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Makarska: Katarzyna Kawa vs Maya Joint Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Makarska: Katarzyna Kawa vs Maya Joint Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 52% YES | 48% NO |
| Makarska: Katarzyna Kawa vs Maya Joint Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Makarska: Katarzyna Kawa vs Maya Joint Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 51% YES | 49% NO |
| Makarska: Katarzyna Kawa vs Maya Joint Match O/U 21.5 | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Makarska: Katarzyna Kawa vs Maya Joint Set 1 Winner | 44% YES | 56% NO |
| Makarska: Katarzyna Kawa vs Maya Joint Match O/U 22.5 | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Makarska: Katarzyna Kawa vs Maya Joint Match O/U 23.5 | 51% YES | 49% NO |
Katarzyna Kawa and Maya Joint are scheduled to compete in a professional tennis match in Makarska on 3 June 2026. The current order book on Polymarket reflects a 50-50 split, indicating the market perceives this as a genuine toss-up between two players of comparable strength at this venue and surface. Settlement occurs on 10 June, allowing a seven-day window for the match to conclude; any cancellation, tie, or unresolved outcome beyond that period triggers a 50-50 resolution.
Kawa, a Polish player with ITF and WTA circuit experience, has historically performed competitively on clay surfaces across European tournaments. Joint's recent form and head-to-head record against Kawa would typically inform baseline expectations, though limited recent matchup data between these two players at this tier means the market's equilibrium reflects genuine uncertainty rather than a consensus lean. Comparable WTA 125K or ITF events in the Adriatic region have seen favourites priced between 55-65 per cent, suggesting the current even odds may reflect either balanced player strength or insufficient pre-match information flow.
Traders should monitor official tournament draws and any injury announcements from either player's camp in the days preceding 3 June. Surface conditions in Makarska—typically clay—and weather forecasts closer to the date could shift expectations if one player has a documented clay-court advantage. Withdrawal announcements or schedule changes would trigger immediate resolution mechanics, whilst any retirement during play would resolve according to advancement rules rather than the 50-50 tie clause.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.wtatennis.com/scores. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "Makarska: Katarzyna Kawa vs Maya Joint" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$6 in lifetime turnover and $8K of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for tennis contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
Last 24 hours alone saw $6 in turnover, well above the lifetime daily-average for this market — a clear sign of news catalysing trader activity right now.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.wtatennis.com/scores. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 10 June 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
Explore more prediction market odds and trading opportunities on PolyGram: