Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the tennis match between Alexandra Eala and Alina Charaeva in the Birmingham, originally scheduled for June 3, 2026 at 5:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Alexandra Eala' if Alexandra Eala advances against Alina Charaeva. This market will resolve to 'Alina Charaeva' if Alina Charaeva advances against Alexandra Eala. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Birmingham: Alexandra Eala vs Alina Charaeva | 73% YES | 28% NO |
| Completed Match | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Birmingham: Alexandra Eala vs Alina Charaeva Set 1 Winner | 68% YES | 32% NO |
| Birmingham: Alexandra Eala vs Alina Charaeva Match O/U 21.5 | 46% YES | 54% NO |
| Birmingham: Alexandra Eala vs Alina Charaeva Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Birmingham: Alexandra Eala vs Alina Charaeva Match O/U 22.5 | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Birmingham: Alexandra Eala vs Alina Charaeva Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 21% YES | 79% NO |
| Birmingham: Alexandra Eala vs Alina Charaeva Match O/U 23.5 | 50% YES | 50% NO |
Alexandra Eala and Alina Charaeva are scheduled to meet in the Birmingham tournament on 3 June 2026. The current order book on Polymarket prices Eala's advancement at 73%, reflecting a substantial favourite position. Settlement occurs by 10 June 2026, allowing a seven-day window for the match to complete; any cancellation, tie, or unresolved outcome beyond that period triggers a 50-50 resolution.
Eala, the Filipino player, has established herself as a consistent performer on the WTA circuit with steady ranking progression and multiple tournament appearances. Charaeva, competing for Russia, has shown variable form across different surfaces and competition levels. Historical precedent suggests that when a player carries a 73% implied probability in a direct matchup, the market typically reflects either a meaningful ranking differential, recent head-to-head record, or surface-specific advantage. The current pricing indicates traders assess Eala as the more likely progression candidate, though the 27% tail risk for Charaeva suggests the market acknowledges competitive uncertainty.
Traders should monitor Birmingham tournament scheduling announcements and any player withdrawal notices, particularly given the early morning start time (5:30 AM ET) which occasionally correlates with fixture changes. Surface conditions at Birmingham's grass courts will matter; recent WTA grass-court results from either player would provide updated form data. Injury reports or late withdrawals in the days preceding 3 June represent key catalysts that could shift the order book materially. The seven-day settlement window provides reasonable buffer for delayed matches, though weather disruptions at outdoor grass events remain a structural risk factor.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.wtatennis.com/scores. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "Birmingham: Alexandra Eala vs Alina Charaeva" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$295 in lifetime turnover and $21K of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for tennis contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is modest — expect a couple of cents of slippage on $1k+ trades.
Last 24 hours alone saw $295 in turnover, well above the lifetime daily-average for this market — a clear sign of news catalysing trader activity right now.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.wtatennis.com/scores. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 10 June 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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