Trade: Paris: Clara Burel vs Tamara Korpatsch
Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the tennis match between Clara Burel and Tamara Korpatsch in the Paris, originally scheduled for May 12, 2026 at 7:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Clara Burel' if Clara Burel advances against Tamara Korpatsch. This market will resolve to 'Tamara Korpatsch' if Tamara Korpatsch advances against Clara Burel. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
- Liquidity
- $27K
- Total Volume
- $121
- 24h Volume
- $121
- Open Interest
- $158
Market outcomes
| Paris: Clara Burel vs Tamara Korpatsch | 30% YES | 71% NO |
| Completed Match | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Paris: Clara Burel vs Tamara Korpatsch Match O/U 21.5 | 44% YES | 56% NO |
| Paris: Clara Burel vs Tamara Korpatsch Match O/U 22.5 | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Paris: Clara Burel vs Tamara Korpatsch Match O/U 23.5 | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Paris: Clara Burel vs Tamara Korpatsch Set 1 Winner | 65% YES | 36% NO |
| Paris: Clara Burel vs Tamara Korpatsch Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 36% YES | 64% NO |
| Paris: Clara Burel vs Tamara Korpatsch Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 63% YES | 37% NO |
Market context
Clara Burel and Tamara Korpatsch are scheduled to meet in the Paris tournament on 12 May 2026 at 7:30 AM ET. The market currently implies a 30% probability of Burel advancing, reflecting the order book depth on Polymarket where traders are pricing Korpatsch as the favoured competitor. Settlement occurs on 19 May 2026, allowing a seven-day window for the match to conclude.
Burel, a French player competing on home clay, typically benefits from crowd support and surface familiarity in Paris tournaments. Korpatsch, a German competitor, has shown inconsistent form on clay relative to hard courts in recent seasons. Historical matchups between players of similar ranking show that home-court advantage in clay events can shift implied probabilities by 10–15 percentage points, yet the current 30% for Burel suggests the market is pricing in either recent form deterioration, injury concerns, or head-to-head records favouring Korpatsch. Comparable WTA clay-court encounters between unseeded or lower-ranked players typically see the higher-ranked player priced at 55–65% on Polymarket's order book.
Traders should monitor official tournament draws and any injury announcements from either player's camp in the week preceding the match. Weather conditions on clay—particularly rainfall or temperature swings—can materially affect performance for players with different movement profiles. Recent WTA rankings updates and any qualifying-round results will clarify current form. The settlement window's seven-day extension clause means delays due to weather or scheduling conflicts are possible, though unlikely to trigger the 50-50 resolution given the tournament's infrastructure.
Wikipedia Context
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Paris MarathonThe Paris Marathon is an annual marathon hosted by the city of Paris, France. It is the largest running event in France in terms of finishers and is typically among the five largest marathons in the world.
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Claire Paris
Claire Beatrix Paris-Limouzy, also known as Claire Paris, is marine scientist known for her research on fish larvae and tracking particles in the ocean. She also holds United States national records in freediving.
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Parys HaralsonParys Sharron Haralson was an American professional football player who was a linebacker in the National Football League (NFL). He was selected by the San Francisco 49ers in the fifth round of the 2006 NFL draft. He played college football for the Tennessee Volunteers as a defensive end.
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Laura ParisLaura Paris is a retired Italian group rhythmic gymnast. She won a bronze medal at the 2024 Summer Olympics in the group all-around final. She is the 2021 World champion in 3 hoops and 4 clubs and the 2022 World champion in 5 hoops and team, a two-time European champion in 5 hoops and the 2022 European champion in 3 ribbons + 2 balls.
Resolution source
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.wtatennis.com/scores. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
How to trade this market step by step
The mechanics for trading "Paris: Clara Burel vs Tamara Korpatsch" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
- Sign in on polygram.ink with your email — no full KYC under $1,500 lifetime trading volume.
- Deposit USDC on Polygon (lowest fees, ~$0.01 per transaction) or Ethereum. Funds credit after 12 confirmations.
- Pick a side. Buy YES if you believe the event will happen; buy NO if you think it won't. The current YES price reflects the market's collective probability.
- Size your position. If you stake 100 USDC at 50% YES, you'll receive shares that pay $200 if YES resolves true — a 100% gross return. If NO resolves, your shares are worth $0.
- Set risk controls (optional). Stop-loss, take-profit, and limit-order types all supported. Use the trade ticket's slippage box to cap your maximum entry price.
- Wait for resolution. When the event resolves on-chain via the UMA optimistic oracle, the winning side settles to 100¢ automatically and USDC hits your balance within seconds. Withdrawable to any wallet you control.
How active is this market?
$121 in lifetime turnover and $27K of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for tennis contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is modest — expect a couple of cents of slippage on $1k+ trades.
Last 24 hours alone saw $121 in turnover, well above the lifetime daily-average for this market — a clear sign of news catalysing trader activity right now.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Key terms
- YES / NO share
- A binary outcome token that pays $1.00 if the underlying claim resolves true (YES) or false (NO), and $0 otherwise. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- CLOB
- Central limit order book. The matching engine that pairs YES buyers with NO buyers (effectively the same trade). Polymarket's CLOB on Polygon executes trades on-chain via the conditional-tokens framework.
- Liquidity
- USDC capital sitting in resting limit orders inside the order book. Deeper liquidity means smaller slippage on large trades and a tighter bid-ask spread.
- UMA optimistic oracle
- The on-chain dispute system that settles each Polymarket market. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution.
- Slippage
- The difference between the displayed mid-price and your fill price. Affects market orders most; limit orders avoid slippage but may take time to fill.
- Conditional token
- ERC-1155 outcome share issued by Gnosis Conditional Tokens on Polygon. The token type that resolves to $1.00 or $0.00 at settlement.
Frequently asked questions
How does this market resolve?
Resolution is sourced from https://www.wtatennis.com/scores. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
When does this market close?
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 19 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
How can I trade on "Paris: Clara Burel vs Tamara Korpatsch"?
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
What happens when the market resolves?
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Risk and regulatory note
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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