Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the tennis match between Chenting Zhu and Reina Goto in the ITF Women Wuning, originally scheduled for June 2, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Chenting Zhu' if Chenting Zhu advances against Reina Goto. This market will resolve to 'Reina Goto' if Reina Goto advances against Chenting Zhu. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| ITF Wuning: Chenting Zhu vs Reina Goto | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Completed Match | 100% YES | 0% NO |
Chenting Zhu and Reina Goto are scheduled to meet in the ITF Women's tournament at Wuning on 2 June 2026. The match represents a lower-tier professional fixture on the ITF circuit, where both players compete for ranking points and prize money. The current 0% implied probability on Polymarket's order book reflects either minimal trading activity on this specific matchup or a technical artefact of thin liquidity; such extreme probabilities on ITF matches typically indicate few orders have been placed rather than genuine market consensus about the outcome.
ITF Women's matches at this level show high variance in predictability. Historical comparable fixtures suggest that player ranking differential, recent form, and surface preference matter substantially, yet upsets occur frequently enough that even heavily favoured players settle at 70–80% implied probability rather than approaching certainty. Without substantial pre-match trading volume, the current probability carries limited information value. Traders should examine the players' recent ITF results, head-to-head records if available, and surface history on hard courts—Wuning typically hosts hard-court events.
Key catalysts include official confirmation of the match proceeding as scheduled and any late withdrawals or injury announcements. The settlement window closes 10 June 2026, allowing eight days for completion. If the match is delayed beyond seven days without resolution, the market settles 50-50. Traders should monitor ITF tournament schedules and player social media for withdrawal notices, which occasionally emerge in the final 48 hours before lower-tier fixtures.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "ITF Wuning: Chenting Zhu vs Reina Goto" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$13K in lifetime turnover and $0 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for tennis contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
Last 24 hours alone saw $13K in turnover, well above the lifetime daily-average for this market — a clear sign of news catalysing trader activity right now.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 10 June 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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