Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the tennis match between Daria Zelinskaya and Jiaqi Wang in the ITF Women Wuning, originally scheduled for May 26, 2026 at 2:15AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Daria Zelinskaya' if Daria Zelinskaya advances against Jiaqi Wang. This market will resolve to 'Jiaqi Wang' if Jiaqi Wang advances against Daria Zelinskaya. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| ITF Wuning: Daria Zelinskaya vs Jiaqi Wang | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Completed Match | 100% YES | 0% NO |
Daria Zelinskaya faces Jiaqi Wang in an ITF Women's event at Wuning, scheduled for 26 May 2026. The match is set for 2:15 AM ET, placing it in an early morning slot that may affect liquidity and real-time monitoring. Polymarket's order book currently reflects 0% implied probability for a Zelinskaya victory, suggesting either strong backing for Wang or minimal trading activity at this early stage. With settlement closing on 2 June 2026, there remains substantial time for position adjustment as the match date approaches.
The 0% probability reading warrants scrutiny given typical ITF Women's tournament dynamics, where ranking disparities and recent form often shift considerably in the weeks preceding competition. Historical ITF markets at this distance from settlement frequently see probability reassessment once players' injury status, travel logistics, and warm-up results become clearer. Wang may hold a documented ranking advantage or recent tournament results favouring her, though such data requires verification against current WTA and ITF rankings.
Traders should monitor ITF Wuning draw confirmations and any withdrawal announcements, particularly given the early morning scheduling. Player social media, recent match results from May 2026 warm-up events, and surface-specific performance records will provide concrete catalysts for repricing. The seven-day delay clause in the settlement terms means matches postponed beyond 2 June without completion trigger a 50-50 resolution, creating tail-risk considerations for positions held through the final days.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "ITF Wuning: Daria Zelinskaya vs Jiaqi Wang" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$2K in lifetime turnover and $0 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for tennis contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 2 June 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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