Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the tennis match between Armine Yesaian and Tea Kovacevic in the ITF Women Tsaghkadzor, originally scheduled for May 27, 2026 at 2:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Armine Yesaian' if Armine Yesaian advances against Tea Kovacevic. This market will resolve to 'Tea Kovacevic' if Tea Kovacevic advances against Armine Yesaian. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| ITF Tsaghkadzor: Armine Yesaian vs Tea Kovacevic | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Completed Match | 100% YES | 0% NO |
Armine Yesaian and Tea Kovacevic are scheduled to compete in the ITF Women's Tsaghkadzor tournament on 27 May 2026. The match represents a lower-tier professional tennis fixture on the International Tennis Federation circuit, where both players typically compete for ranking points and prize money. The current order book on Polymarket reflects a 100% implied probability for Yesaian's advancement, suggesting either substantial confidence in her capabilities relative to Kovacevic or minimal trading activity establishing a meaningful price discovery mechanism at present.
ITF Women's events at this tier frequently feature significant disparities in player form and ranking, though upsets remain commonplace given the developmental nature of the circuit. Yesaian, competing on home soil in Armenia, would typically benefit from familiarity advantages, though this does not guarantee progression. Kovacevic's recent performance trajectory and head-to-head record against comparable opponents would provide context for assessing whether the current probability reflects genuine expectation or merely thin liquidity.
Traders should monitor tournament draw confirmations and any late withdrawals as the May settlement window approaches. Player injury announcements or scheduling conflicts could trigger match cancellations, which would resolve the market to 50-50 under the stated conditions. Court conditions in Tsaghkadzor and weather forecasts closer to the scheduled date may also influence match completion probabilities, particularly given the early morning fixture time listed. Confirmation of both players' participation in the final week before competition would represent a key catalyst for reassessing current pricing.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "ITF Tsaghkadzor: Armine Yesaian vs Tea Kovacevic" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$120 in lifetime turnover and $0 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for tennis contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 3 June 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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