Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the tennis match between Armine Yesaian and Anna Bazderova in the ITF Women Tsaghkadzor, originally scheduled for May 28, 2026 at 2:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Armine Yesaian' if Armine Yesaian advances against Anna Bazderova. This market will resolve to 'Anna Bazderova' if Anna Bazderova advances against Armine Yesaian. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| ITF Tsaghkadzor: Armine Yesaian vs Anna Bazderova | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Completed Match | 100% YES | 0% NO |
An ITF Women's tournament match scheduled for 28 May 2026 in Tsaghkadzor, Armenia, will pit Armenian player Armine Yesaian against Russian competitor Anna Bazderova. The current order book on Polymarket reflects a 0% implied probability for Yesaian, suggesting traders are pricing in either strong conviction for Bazderova or minimal liquidity in the market at present. Settlement occurs by 4 June 2026, allowing a seven-day window beyond the scheduled date for completion.
ITF circuit matches at this level typically feature significant variance in player form and preparation. Both competitors operate within the lower-tier professional tennis ecosystem where ranking points carry modest value and travel logistics often influence performance. Historical precedent suggests that home-court advantage in ITF events can be material, though Yesaian's status as the local player has not yet moved the probability meaningfully. Recent ITF results show considerable upset potential, particularly when lower-ranked players face unfamiliar opponents in regional tournaments.
Traders should monitor player withdrawal announcements, injury disclosures, or scheduling conflicts in the week preceding the match. Weather conditions in Armenia during late May could affect court preparation and play. Bazderova's recent ITF results and ranking trajectory relative to Yesaian will provide concrete form data as the match date approaches. The settlement window's tie-break provision (50-50 resolution for incomplete matches or cancellations) introduces additional risk that current pricing may not fully account for, given the tournament's location and potential logistical variables.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "ITF Tsaghkadzor: Armine Yesaian vs Anna Bazderova" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$984 in lifetime turnover and $0 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for tennis contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 4 June 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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