Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the tennis match between Kai Wehnelt and Max Schoenhaus in the ITF Men Troisdorf, originally scheduled for May 29, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Kai Wehnelt' if Kai Wehnelt advances against Max Schoenhaus. This market will resolve to 'Max Schoenhaus' if Max Schoenhaus advances against Kai Wehnelt. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| ITF Troisdorf: Kai Wehnelt vs Max Schoenhaus | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Completed Match | 100% YES | 0% NO |
Kai Wehnelt and Max Schoenhaus are scheduled to compete in the ITF Men's Troisdorf tournament on 29 May 2026, with the match originally set for 6:00 AM ET. The settlement window closes on 5 June 2026 at 10:00 AM ET, allowing a seven-day window for the match to be completed. The current order book on Polymarket shows a 0% implied probability for Wehnelt, suggesting either a technical pricing anomaly or strong conviction among active traders that Schoenhaus will advance. Settlement rules include a 50-50 split if the match is cancelled, delayed beyond seven days without completion, or ends in a tie.
Both players compete on the ITF Men's circuit, a developmental tour where match outcomes depend heavily on form, surface preference, and recent tournament results. ITF events at this level typically feature players ranked outside the ATP top 200, making historical head-to-head records less predictive than recent performance trajectories. The absence of any YES position at Polymarket's current prices suggests traders may be pricing in either confirmed information about player availability, recent form disparities, or withdrawal intelligence not yet public.
Traders should monitor ITF tournament draw confirmations and player withdrawal announcements in the week preceding 29 May. Surface conditions at Troisdorf (typically clay) and any late-breaking injury reports will be material. The seven-day settlement window provides buffer for scheduling delays common in lower-tier professional tennis, though this also creates ambiguity around incomplete matches that resolve to 50-50.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "ITF Troisdorf: Kai Wehnelt vs Max Schoenhaus" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$883 in lifetime turnover and $0 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for tennis contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 5 June 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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