Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the tennis match between Inka Wawrzkiewicz and Ziva Falkner in the ITF Women Osijek, originally scheduled for June 3, 2026 at 5:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Inka Wawrzkiewicz' if Inka Wawrzkiewicz advances against Ziva Falkner. This market will resolve to 'Ziva Falkner' if Ziva Falkner advances against Inka Wawrzkiewicz. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| ITF Osijek: Inka Wawrzkiewicz vs Ziva Falkner | 39% YES | 61% NO |
| Completed Match | 50% YES | 50% NO |
Inka Wawrzkiewicz and Ziva Falkner are scheduled to compete in the ITF Women's tournament in Osijek on 3 June 2026. The current order book on Polymarket reflects a 43% implied probability for Wawrzkiewicz's advancement, suggesting the market views Falkner as the marginal favourite. This pricing emerges from real-time trading activity rather than a single source, with the spread between bid and ask orders determining where the crowd's conviction settles.
ITF Women's events at this tier typically feature players ranked between 300 and 800 globally, where surface preference and recent match fitness often diverge sharply from seeding. Wawrzkiewicz's 43% probability sits in the range typical for players facing slight headwinds—neither heavily favoured nor written off. Historical ITF Osijek draws show clay-court specialists gain marginal edges, and recent tournament results from both players would clarify whether either has momentum entering the event. Comparable matches at this level resolve within the 35–55% band when one player holds a modest ranking or form advantage.
Traders should monitor tournament draw confirmations and any withdrawal announcements through the ITF website or WTA Insider feeds in the week before 3 June. Surface conditions on Osijek's clay, reported in real time during qualifying rounds, often shift probabilities by 5–8 percentage points. Injury reports or late schedule changes could trigger order book repricing. The settlement window closes 10 June at 09:30 UTC, allowing a seven-day buffer for delayed matches before the 50-50 tie-break resolution applies.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "ITF Osijek: Inka Wawrzkiewicz vs Ziva Falkner" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$244 in lifetime turnover and $1K of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for tennis contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
Last 24 hours alone saw $244 in turnover, well above the lifetime daily-average for this market — a clear sign of news catalysing trader activity right now.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 10 June 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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