Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the tennis match between JiaYi Wang and Han Shi in the ITF Women Wuning, originally scheduled for June 2, 2026 at 12:15AM ET. This market will resolve to 'JiaYi Wang' if JiaYi Wang advances against Han Shi. This market will resolve to 'Han Shi' if Han Shi advances against JiaYi Wang. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| ITF Wuning: JiaYi Wang vs Han Shi | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Completed Match | 100% YES | 0% NO |
JiaYi Wang faces Han Shi in a Women's ITF tournament match scheduled for 2 June 2026 at Wuning. The market currently reflects 100% implied probability for Wang's victory, as shown across Polymarket's order book. This extreme pricing suggests either exceptionally strong conviction amongst traders or minimal liquidity at current levels, which typically characterises lower-tier ITF events where participation remains sparse.
ITF Women's circuit matches at this tier frequently feature significant disparities in player ranking and form. Wang and Shi's head-to-head record, recent tournament results, and ranking positions would ordinarily anchor probability estimates between 55–75% for the favoured player in competitive matchups. The 100% reading indicates traders are pricing in either a substantial skill gap, recent injury concerns affecting one player, or simply that the order book lacks sufficient depth to reflect genuine uncertainty. ITF Wuning events draw regional participation, and scheduling changes or player withdrawals occur regularly at this level.
Traders should monitor official ITF and tournament communications through early June for any withdrawal announcements, injury updates, or fixture rescheduling beyond the seven-day threshold that would trigger a 50-50 resolution. Court conditions, weather forecasts for the scheduled date, and any last-minute player availability statements represent the primary catalysts. Given the settlement window closes 9 June 2026, there remains a narrow window for match completion or default scenarios that would alter the current market state.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "ITF Wuning: JiaYi Wang vs Han Shi" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$13K in lifetime turnover and $0 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for tennis contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
Last 24 hours alone saw $12K in turnover, well above the lifetime daily-average for this market — a clear sign of news catalysing trader activity right now.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 9 June 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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