Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the tennis match between Meiling Wang and Michika Ozeki in the ITF Women Wuning, originally scheduled for May 26, 2026 at 2:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Meiling Wang' if Meiling Wang advances against Michika Ozeki. This market will resolve to 'Michika Ozeki' if Michika Ozeki advances against Meiling Wang. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| ITF Wuning: Meiling Wang vs Michika Ozeki | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Completed Match | 100% YES | 0% NO |
Meiling Wang and Michika Ozeki are scheduled to compete in the ITF Women's Wuning tournament on 26 May 2026. The match represents a lower-tier professional tennis fixture, with settlement contingent on a completed match outcome by 2 June 2026. The 0% implied probability on Polymarket's order book reflects either minimal liquidity at current price levels or a technical absence of active bids, rather than certainty about the match outcome itself.
ITF Women's circuit matches at this tier typically feature players ranked outside the WTA's top 200, where upsets and competitive balance are common. Historical precedent suggests that matches between players of comparable developmental stage rarely settle at extreme probabilities unless one competitor carries a substantial ranking advantage or recent form differential. Wang and Ozeki's relative seeding, recent tournament results, and head-to-head record—if available—would ordinarily inform more balanced pricing. The current zero probability indicates the market has not yet attracted sufficient trader interest to establish a meaningful price discovery mechanism.
Traders monitoring this fixture should track tournament draw confirmations, any late withdrawals or scheduling changes, and surface conditions at the venue, which can materially affect outcomes on the ITF circuit. Match postponement beyond the seven-day settlement window would trigger a 50-50 resolution. Liquidity injection and initial order placement will likely establish the true market-implied probability once trading activity commences; early movers will face wide spreads typical of illiquid tennis markets.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "ITF Wuning: Meiling Wang vs Michika Ozeki" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$7K in lifetime turnover and $0 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for tennis contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 2 June 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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