Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the tennis match between Leticia Garcia Vidal and Ana Candiotto in the ITF Women Brasilia, originally scheduled for June 4, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Leticia Garcia Vidal' if Leticia Garcia Vidal advances against Ana Candiotto. This market will resolve to 'Ana Candiotto' if Ana Candiotto advances against Leticia Garcia Vidal. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| ITF Brasilia: Leticia Garcia Vidal vs Ana Candiotto | 30% YES | 71% NO |
| Completed Match | 50% YES | 51% NO |
Leticia Garcia Vidal faces Ana Candiotto in the ITF Women's tournament in Brasília, scheduled for 4 June 2026. The market currently prices Garcia Vidal's victory at 16% on Polymarket's order book, reflecting substantial backing for Candiotto. The settlement window closes on 11 June, allowing a seven-day buffer for fixture delays before triggering a 50-50 resolution.
Garcia Vidal, a Brazilian player competing on home soil, typically carries modest expectations at ITF level despite the home advantage. Candiotto's pricing advantage suggests traders view her as the stronger competitor in this matchup, though ITF women's tennis frequently produces volatile results given the developmental nature of the circuit. Historical ITF data shows that seeding disparities and recent form matter considerably, yet lower-ranked players upset favourites in roughly 20-25% of matches at this level, which contextualises the current 16% probability as somewhat conservative.
Key catalysts include official tournament draw confirmation and any late withdrawals or injuries announced before the scheduled date. Recent ITF tournament reports indicate fixture reliability in Brazil remains solid, minimising delay risk. Traders should monitor both players' recent match records and any surface-preference data, as clay court performance varies significantly amongst developing players. The seven-day delay clause creates minimal additional uncertainty given Brasília's stable June scheduling, though tropical weather patterns warrant monitoring closer to the event date.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "ITF Brasilia: Leticia Garcia Vidal vs Ana Candiotto" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$559 in lifetime turnover and $1K of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for tennis contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
Last 24 hours alone saw $559 in turnover, well above the lifetime daily-average for this market — a clear sign of news catalysing trader activity right now.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 11 June 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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