Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the tennis match between Ruslan Tiukaev and Ivan Iutkin in the ITF Men Tsaghkadzor, originally scheduled for June 4, 2026 at 3:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Ruslan Tiukaev' if Ruslan Tiukaev advances against Ivan Iutkin. This market will resolve to 'Ivan Iutkin' if Ivan Iutkin advances against Ruslan Tiukaev. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| ITF Tsaghkadzor: Ruslan Tiukaev vs Ivan Iutkin | 59% YES | 41% NO |
| Completed Match | 50% YES | 50% NO |
Ruslan Tiukaev and Ivan Iutkin are scheduled to compete in the ITF Men's circuit event at Tsaghkadzor on 4 June 2026. The match is set for 3:30 AM ET, part of a lower-tier professional tennis tour where both players typically compete. The current order book on Polymarket reflects a 57% implied probability for Tiukaev's advancement, suggesting modest market confidence in his victory over Iutkin.
ITF Men's matches at this tier carry inherent volatility in prediction markets due to limited historical data and inconsistent player rankings. Both competitors operate outside the ATP top 500, making direct head-to-head records sparse and recent form difficult to establish with certainty. Markets pricing ITF events typically rely on surface preference, recent tournament results, and geographical factors—Tsaghkadzor's clay courts, for instance, favour certain playing styles. The 57% probability sits near even odds, indicating genuine uncertainty rather than a consensus lean toward either player.
Traders should monitor official ITF tournament draws and any player withdrawal announcements through the ATP/ITF website in the weeks preceding 4 June. Schedule changes or late scratches are not uncommon at this level. Weather conditions in Armenia during early June could affect clay court play and potentially delay matches beyond the settlement window's 7-day threshold. Recent social media activity or tournament entry confirmations from either player would provide concrete signals of their commitment and current fitness status, though such information remains limited for lower-ranked professionals.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "ITF Tsaghkadzor: Ruslan Tiukaev vs Ivan Iutkin" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$213 in lifetime turnover and $2K of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for tennis contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
Last 24 hours alone saw $213 in turnover, well above the lifetime daily-average for this market — a clear sign of news catalysing trader activity right now.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 11 June 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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