Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the tennis match between Julie Struplova and Francesca Curmi in the ITF Women Portoroz, originally scheduled for May 24, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Julie Struplova' if Julie Struplova advances against Francesca Curmi. This market will resolve to 'Francesca Curmi' if Francesca Curmi advances against Julie Struplova. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| ITF Portoroz: Julie Struplova vs Francesca Curmi | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Completed Match | 100% YES | 0% NO |
Julie Struplova and Francesca Curmi are scheduled to compete in the ITF Women's circuit event at Portoroz on 24 May 2026. The match forms part of the lower-tier professional tennis calendar, where both players typically compete to accumulate ranking points and prize money. The current order book on Polymarket reflects a 100% implied probability for resolution, suggesting traders are pricing near-certainty that the match will be completed and produce a clear winner by the settlement deadline of 31 May 2026.
ITF Women's matches at this level rarely fail to reach completion once scheduled, with cancellations typically occurring only due to injury withdrawals or severe weather. Historical data from comparable ITF tournaments shows that matches scheduled at established venues like Portoroz proceed as planned in approximately 95% of cases. The seven-day grace period built into the market's resolution criteria provides substantial buffer against minor delays, further reducing tail-risk scenarios where the market would split 50-50.
Traders monitoring this market should track any official ITF or tournament communications regarding player withdrawals, which would typically emerge 24–48 hours before match time. Weather forecasts for the Slovenian coast on 24 May and any updates to the tournament schedule warrant attention, though late-May conditions are generally stable for outdoor play. The absence of significant recent news regarding either player's injury status or circuit commitments suggests baseline execution risk remains low, consistent with the market's current pricing.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "ITF Portoroz: Julie Struplova vs Francesca Curmi" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$3K in lifetime turnover and $0 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for tennis contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 31 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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