Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the tennis match between Simeon Stankovic and Kristijan Juhas in the ITF Men Kursumlijska Banja, originally scheduled for May 29, 2026 at 3:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Simeon Stankovic' if Simeon Stankovic advances against Kristijan Juhas. This market will resolve to 'Kristijan Juhas' if Kristijan Juhas advances against Simeon Stankovic. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| ITF Kursumlijska Banja: Simeon Stankovic vs Kristijan Juhas | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Completed Match | 100% YES | 0% NO |
Simeon Stankovic and Kristijan Juhas are scheduled to compete in the ITF Men's circuit event at Kursumlijska Banja on 29 May 2026. The match was originally set for 3:30 AM ET, an unusual scheduling window typical of lower-tier ITF tournaments where court availability and broadcast considerations often dictate unconventional start times. The current Polymarket order book is pricing this match at 100% implied probability for Stankovic, suggesting either strong backing from informed traders or minimal liquidity depth at the current price level.
ITF Men's matches at this tier carry elevated cancellation and postponement risk compared to ATP events. Weather disruptions, player withdrawals due to injury, and scheduling conflicts with other tournaments frequently delay or void matches beyond the seven-day resolution window. Historical precedent shows that ITF events in the Balkans region experience weather-related postponements in late May, particularly for early-morning slots. The settlement window closes 7 June 2026, providing a narrow buffer for match completion and result confirmation.
Traders should monitor official ITF tournament updates and player social media for withdrawal announcements in the week preceding the match. Stankovic and Juhas's recent form on the ITF circuit, entry lists for competing tournaments, and any travel or injury disclosures will signal execution risk. The extreme probability reading suggests either asymmetric information favouring Stankovic or thin order book depth; traders entering positions should verify liquidity depth before committing capital.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "ITF Kursumlijska Banja: Simeon Stankovic vs Kristijan Juhas" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$8K in lifetime turnover and $0 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for tennis contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 5 June 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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