Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the tennis match between Alexandra Shubladze and Han Shi in the ITF Women Wuning, originally scheduled for May 30, 2026 at 12:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Alexandra Shubladze' if Alexandra Shubladze advances against Han Shi. This market will resolve to 'Han Shi' if Han Shi advances against Alexandra Shubladze. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| ITF Wuning: Alexandra Shubladze vs Han Shi | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Completed Match | 100% YES | 0% NO |
Alexandra Shubladze and Han Shi are scheduled to meet in the ITF Women's tournament at Wuning on 30 May 2026. The match represents a lower-tier professional fixture on the International Tennis Federation circuit, where both players compete for ranking points and prize money. The current order book on Polymarket shows the market at 100% implied probability for Shubladze, reflecting either overwhelming confidence in her advancement or minimal liquidity at the extremes.
ITF Women's matches at this level carry material cancellation and withdrawal risk. Injuries, travel disruptions, and player withdrawals occur regularly on the ITF tour, particularly in Asian venues where scheduling can shift with limited notice. Historical patterns suggest that markets at 100% probability on lower-tier tennis fixtures often reflect thin order books rather than certainty; liquidity typically concentrates around 70–85% for comparable matchups when both players have confirmed participation. The resolution clause permitting 50–50 settlement if the match is delayed beyond seven days without completion introduces additional uncertainty beyond the on-court outcome.
Traders should monitor official ITF and tournament communications for confirmation of both players' participation through the settlement window closing 6 June 2026. Recent scheduling announcements for Asian ITF events have occasionally shifted dates or venues due to logistical constraints. Any withdrawal or injury announcement would likely trigger sharp repricing. The extreme probability reading suggests limited current trading activity; meaningful position entry may depend on whether additional liquidity emerges as the match date approaches.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "ITF Wuning: Alexandra Shubladze vs Han Shi" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$2K in lifetime turnover and $0 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for tennis contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 6 June 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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