Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the tennis match between Justin Schlageter and Viktor Durasovic in the ITF Men Troisdorf, originally scheduled for May 29, 2026 at 8:15AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Justin Schlageter' if Justin Schlageter advances against Viktor Durasovic. This market will resolve to 'Viktor Durasovic' if Viktor Durasovic advances against Justin Schlageter. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| ITF Troisdorf: Justin Schlageter vs Viktor Durasovic | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Completed Match | 100% YES | 0% NO |
Justin Schlageter and Viktor Durasovic are scheduled to meet in the ITF Men's Troisdorf tournament on 29 May 2026. The match sits at 0% implied probability on Polymarket's order book, indicating either minimal trading activity or a structural issue with how the market has formed. ITF Futures events at this level typically attract limited speculative interest compared to ATP or Grand Slam fixtures, which can result in thin liquidity and extreme probability readings that don't reflect genuine forecasting consensus.
Schlageter, a German player competing on home soil, holds a modest advantage in such circumstances, though both competitors operate within the lower-tier professional circuit where form fluctuates considerably. Historical ITF Futures markets show that home-court advantage at smaller tournaments can shift outcomes meaningfully, yet the current zero probability suggests the market may simply lack sufficient order-book depth to establish a meaningful spread. Comparable ITF events rarely settle with extreme probabilities once trading becomes active.
Traders should monitor the ITF calendar for any schedule disruptions, weather alerts for the Troisdorf venue, or late withdrawals in the week preceding 29 May. The settlement window extends to 5 June at 12:15 UTC, allowing a seven-day grace period for delayed matches. Any announcement regarding either player's injury status or tournament cancellation would be the primary catalyst. Given the current illiquidity, early orders at modest probability levels may establish the reference price once the market gains traction closer to the event date.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "ITF Troisdorf: Justin Schlageter vs Viktor Durasovic" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$405 in lifetime turnover and $0 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for tennis contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 5 June 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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