Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the tennis match between Daniel Lara Salmeron and Kirill Mishkin in the ITF Men Kutaisi, originally scheduled for May 26, 2026 at 3:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Daniel Lara Salmeron' if Daniel Lara Salmeron advances against Kirill Mishkin. This market will resolve to 'Kirill Mishkin' if Kirill Mishkin advances against Daniel Lara Salmeron. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| ITF Kutaisi: Daniel Lara Salmeron vs Kirill Mishkin | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Completed Match | 100% YES | 0% NO |
Daniel Lara Salmeron, a Spanish ITF competitor, faces Kirill Mishkin in the ITF Men's tournament at Kutaisi, Georgia on 26 May 2026. The match is scheduled for 3:00 AM ET, with the market settlement window closing on 2 June at 07:00 UTC. The current order book on Polymarket shows a 100% implied probability for resolution, indicating either exceptionally high confidence in match completion or minimal trading activity establishing price discovery. This extreme probability suggests either the market has consolidated around certainty of the match occurring, or liquidity remains insufficient to establish meaningful price tension between outcomes.
ITF Men's tournaments at this tier typically feature completion rates above 95%, with cancellations or delays beyond seven days remaining uncommon except during adverse weather or player injury. Comparable lower-ranked ITF events in Eastern Europe have historically resolved without incident, though spring scheduling in the Caucasus region occasionally encounters weather disruptions. The Kutaisi venue has hosted ITF events previously without notable operational issues.
Traders should monitor the ITF official schedule through late May for any withdrawal announcements from either player, weather forecasts for the Kutaisi region in the days preceding the match, and any updates from the tournament organisers. Player injury reports or late withdrawals typically emerge 48–72 hours before scheduled play. The seven-day delay threshold means matches postponed beyond 2 June without completion would trigger the 50-50 resolution condition, creating a distinct settlement risk separate from match outcome uncertainty.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "ITF Kutaisi: Daniel Lara Salmeron vs Kirill Mishkin" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$866 in lifetime turnover and $0 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for tennis contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 2 June 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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