Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the tennis match between Dominique Rolland and Marko Mesarovic in the ITF Men Lakewood, originally scheduled for May 27, 2026 at 3:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Dominique Rolland' if Dominique Rolland advances against Marko Mesarovic. This market will resolve to 'Marko Mesarovic' if Marko Mesarovic advances against Dominique Rolland. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| ITF Lakewood: Dominique Rolland vs Marko Mesarovic | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Completed Match | 100% YES | 0% NO |
Dominique Rolland and Marko Mesarovic are scheduled to compete in the ITF Men's Lakewood tournament on 27 May 2026 at 3:00 PM ET. The current order book on Polymarket shows zero probability for Rolland advancing, reflecting either minimal trading activity or strong conviction amongst early participants that Mesarovic is the favoured outcome. With settlement occurring on 3 June 2026, the market has approximately two weeks to establish meaningful liquidity and price discovery before the match concludes.
ITF Futures events at the Lakewood venue typically attract lower-ranked professionals and developing players competing for ranking points. Historical patterns suggest such matches often reflect significant disparities in recent form and ranking position. The 0% probability currently displayed likely indicates the order book has not yet accumulated sufficient two-sided interest to establish a competitive spread, rather than reflecting absolute certainty in the outcome. Early markets on lower-tier professional tennis often remain illiquid until closer to event dates.
Traders should monitor ATP and ITF ranking updates through late May, as recent tournament results and injury reports for both players will inform rational pricing. The ITF Lakewood draw announcement and any scheduling changes should be tracked via the official ITF website. Weather disruptions affecting the outdoor clay courts could trigger the tie or delay resolution clause if matches extend beyond 7 days, which would settle the market at 50-50 regardless of competitive positioning.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "ITF Lakewood: Dominique Rolland vs Marko Mesarovic" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$2K in lifetime turnover and $0 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for tennis contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 3 June 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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