Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the tennis match between Alexandre Reco and Carlos Lopez Montagud in the ITF Men Caltanissetta, originally scheduled for June 4, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Alexandre Reco' if Alexandre Reco advances against Carlos Lopez Montagud. This market will resolve to 'Carlos Lopez Montagud' if Carlos Lopez Montagud advances against Alexandre Reco. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| ITF Caltanissetta: Alexandre Reco vs Carlos Lopez Montagud | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Completed Match | 0% YES | 100% NO |
Alexandre Reco and Carlos Lopez Montagud are scheduled to compete in the ITF Men's circuit event at Caltanissetta on 4 June 2026. The match represents a lower-tier professional tennis fixture on the International Tennis Federation's secondary tour, where both players are developing their rankings and match experience. The current Polymarket order book reflects a 100% implied probability for Reco, suggesting either substantial backing for his advancement or minimal liquidity at present pricing, which typically characterises early-stage markets on niche sporting events.
ITF Men's matches at this level show considerable volatility in outcomes relative to seeding or ranking position. Historical resolution data from comparable ITF tournaments indicates that matches involving players outside the top 200 rankings frequently produce upsets, with lower-seeded competitors winning approximately 30–40% of encounters depending on surface and draw strength. The Caltanissetta event is played on clay, a surface where technical proficiency and baseline consistency can neutralise ranking disparities. Current pricing at 100% for Reco suggests the market may be pricing in either confirmed information about Lopez Montagud's withdrawal or injury, or reflects insufficient trading volume to establish genuine two-sided pricing.
Traders should monitor ITF official draw confirmations and any player withdrawal announcements through the ITF website through early June. Scheduling delays are common on the ITF circuit due to weather or facility constraints, and the settlement window extends to 11 June, allowing seven days beyond the original date. Recent injury reports or late withdrawals typically emerge 48–72 hours before scheduled play, creating potential repricing opportunities if Lopez Montagud's participation status changes.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "ITF Caltanissetta: Alexandre Reco vs Carlos Lopez Montagud" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$795 in lifetime turnover and $0 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for tennis contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
Last 24 hours alone saw $795 in turnover, well above the lifetime daily-average for this market — a clear sign of news catalysing trader activity right now.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 11 June 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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