Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the tennis match between Daniele Rapagnetta and Matteo Sciahbasi in the ITF Men Caltanissetta, originally scheduled for June 2, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Daniele Rapagnetta' if Daniele Rapagnetta advances against Matteo Sciahbasi. This market will resolve to 'Matteo Sciahbasi' if Matteo Sciahbasi advances against Daniele Rapagnetta. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| ITF Caltanissetta: Daniele Rapagnetta vs Matteo Sciahbasi | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Completed Match | 100% YES | 0% NO |
Daniele Rapagnetta and Matteo Sciahbasi are scheduled to compete in the ITF Men's tournament at Caltanissetta on 2 June 2026. The match carries a settlement window extending to 9 June, allowing a seven-day grace period for completion beyond the original fixture date. Polymarket's order book currently reflects a 0% implied probability for Rapagnetta's advancement, indicating either strong backing for Sciahbasi or minimal trading activity establishing a baseline price. The extreme probability skew warrants scrutiny, as ITF-level matches frequently experience fixture delays, withdrawals, or incomplete play that would trigger the 50-50 resolution clause.
Both players compete regularly on the ITF circuit, where ranking volatility and surface-specific performance variations are pronounced. Historical ITF tournament data shows cancellation rates of approximately 3–5% across European venues during early June scheduling, whilst weather-related delays extending beyond the original date occur in roughly 8–12% of cases. Sciahbasi's recent form and head-to-head record against Rapagnetta would typically anchor probability estimates; however, the absence of recent public match results between them suggests limited historical precedent for direct comparison.
Traders should monitor tournament draw confirmations and player withdrawal announcements through the ITF website and official Caltanissetta venue communications. Weather forecasts for Sicily in early June and any late-stage player fitness updates will materially affect settlement risk. The current zero probability likely reflects either incomplete market participation or strong conviction in Sciahbasi's superiority; either scenario warrants independent verification of recent form data before position entry.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "ITF Caltanissetta: Daniele Rapagnetta vs Matteo Sciahbasi" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$103 in lifetime turnover and $0 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for tennis contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
Last 24 hours alone saw $89 in turnover, well above the lifetime daily-average for this market — a clear sign of news catalysing trader activity right now.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 9 June 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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