Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the tennis match between Lola Radivojevic and Alevtina Ibragimova in the ITF Women Kursumlijska Banja, originally scheduled for May 28, 2026 at 7:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Lola Radivojevic' if Lola Radivojevic advances against Alevtina Ibragimova. This market will resolve to 'Alevtina Ibragimova' if Alevtina Ibragimova advances against Lola Radivojevic. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| ITF Kursumlijska Banja: Lola Radivojevic vs Alevtina Ibragimova | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Completed Match | 100% YES | 0% NO |
Lola Radivojevic will face Alevtina Ibragimova in a Women's ITF match at Kursumlijska Banja, Serbia, scheduled for 28 May 2026. The current order book on Polymarket reflects a 100% implied probability for Radivojevic's advancement, indicating either overwhelming confidence in her victory or minimal trading activity establishing price discovery. The settlement window closes on 4 June 2026, allowing a seven-day buffer beyond the scheduled match date for completion.
ITF Women's circuit matches at this tier typically feature significant variance in player form and preparation levels. Radivojevic, competing on home soil in Serbia, would ordinarily command a modest advantage in such fixtures, though historical ITF outcomes at Balkan venues show upsets occur in roughly 15–20% of matches involving unseeded or lower-ranked challengers. Ibragimova's recent competitive record and ranking trajectory would provide essential context for assessing whether the current 100% probability reflects genuine dominance or insufficient liquidity in the order book.
Traders should monitor official ITF scheduling confirmations and any player withdrawal announcements through the WTA's injury or scheduling updates, typically released 48–72 hours before tournament play. Weather disruptions at the Kursumlijska Banja venue could trigger delays beyond the seven-day threshold, which would force resolution to 50-50 under the market's terms. Court surface conditions and recent hard-court performance data for both players represent the primary catalysts affecting match outcomes at this competition level.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "ITF Kursumlijska Banja: Lola Radivojevic vs Alevtina Ibragimova" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$69 in lifetime turnover and $0 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for tennis contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 4 June 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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