Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the tennis match between Nazar Puzyrevich and Andre Megrabian in the ITF Men Kutaisi, originally scheduled for May 26, 2026 at 4:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Nazar Puzyrevich' if Nazar Puzyrevich advances against Andre Megrabian. This market will resolve to 'Andre Megrabian' if Andre Megrabian advances against Nazar Puzyrevich. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| ITF Kutaisi: Nazar Puzyrevich vs Andre Megrabian | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Completed Match | 100% YES | 0% NO |
Nazar Puzyrevich and Andre Megrabian are scheduled to compete in the ITF Men's Kutaisi tournament on 26 May 2026, with the market settlement window closing on 2 June. The current order book on Polymarket reflects a 0% implied probability for Puzyrevich's victory, suggesting the market is pricing either a strong expectation of Megrabian's win or significant uncertainty about match execution. ITF Futures events at this tier often experience fixture volatility, with cancellations and rescheduling not uncommon, particularly for lower-ranked players competing in regional tournaments.
Historical precedent for ITF Men's matches shows that pricing at extreme probabilities (0% or 100%) typically reflects either substantial form differentials or structural concerns about match completion rather than genuine certainty. Megrabian, competing on home soil in Georgia, would ordinarily carry venue advantage, though ITF Futures draws frequently feature players with limited recent match data or ranking history, making comparative assessment difficult. The settlement terms include a 50-50 resolution if the match is delayed beyond seven days without completion, which creates a natural floor for either player's probability.
Traders should monitor official ITF and tournament communications for fixture confirmation as the May date approaches. Player withdrawal announcements, injury reports, or scheduling conflicts typically emerge within two weeks of tournament commencement. The extreme current pricing warrants scrutiny of whether Puzyrevich has recent match availability or ranking data that justifies such a discount, or whether the market is simply reflecting illiquidity in a lower-profile fixture.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "ITF Kutaisi: Nazar Puzyrevich vs Andre Megrabian" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$734 in lifetime turnover and $0 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for tennis contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 2 June 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
Explore more prediction market odds and trading opportunities on PolyGram: