Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the tennis match between Mili Poljicak and Duje Ajdukovic in the ITF Men Bol, originally scheduled for May 30, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Mili Poljicak' if Mili Poljicak advances against Duje Ajdukovic. This market will resolve to 'Duje Ajdukovic' if Duje Ajdukovic advances against Mili Poljicak. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| ITF Bol: Mili Poljicak vs Duje Ajdukovic | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Completed Match | 100% YES | 0% NO |
Mili Poljicak and Duje Ajdukovic are scheduled to compete in the ITF Men's tournament in Bol, Croatia on 30 May 2026. The match represents a lower-tier professional tennis fixture within the ITF circuit, where both players typically compete for ranking points and prize money. The settlement window closes on 6 June 2026, allowing a seven-day buffer for scheduling delays or postponements before the market resolves to a 50-50 split.
The current 0% implied probability on Polymarket's order book reflects minimal trading activity rather than a genuine assessment that the match will not occur. ITF matches at this level rarely attract significant liquidity, and the absence of bids often produces extreme probability readings that shift sharply once initial orders appear. Historical patterns show that ITF fixtures in secondary European locations experience occasional cancellations or rescheduling due to weather, facility access, or player withdrawals, but completion rates remain above 90% when scheduled.
Traders should monitor the official ITF website and tournament draw updates as the May fixture approaches, particularly any announcements regarding player withdrawals or venue changes. Recent ITF scheduling has been stable post-pandemic, though Croatian coastal tournaments occasionally face weather-related delays. The lack of current market depth means the first meaningful order book activity will likely establish a more realistic probability distribution; early traders entering positions should anticipate significant volatility once the match draws closer to its scheduled date.
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This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "ITF Bol: Mili Poljicak vs Duje Ajdukovic" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$597 in lifetime turnover and $0 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for tennis contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 6 June 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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