Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the tennis match between Laura Pigossi and Anastasia Tikhonova in the ITF Women Caserta, originally scheduled for June 4, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Laura Pigossi' if Laura Pigossi advances against Anastasia Tikhonova. This market will resolve to 'Anastasia Tikhonova' if Anastasia Tikhonova advances against Laura Pigossi. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| ITF Caserta: Laura Pigossi vs Anastasia Tikhonova | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Completed Match | 100% YES | 0% NO |
Laura Pigossi of Brazil faces Anastasia Tikhonova in a Women's ITF match at Caserta, scheduled for 4 June 2026. The current order book on Polymarket reflects a 100% implied probability, suggesting the market has priced in near-certainty regarding match completion and a decisive outcome. This extreme probability typically emerges when traders perceive minimal execution risk—either the match is expected to proceed without disruption or historical patterns at this venue indicate reliable scheduling.
ITF Women's events at secondary venues like Caserta generally maintain strong completion rates, though weather delays and player withdrawals remain standard considerations. Pigossi, a former WTA player with ITF circuit experience, carries a different profile than Tikhonova; historical matchups between players of disparate ranking trajectories often settle decisively rather than through walkovers or retirements. The settlement window extends to 11 June, providing a seven-day buffer beyond the scheduled date—sufficient for weather-related postponements without triggering the 50-50 tie-break resolution.
Traders should monitor ITF Caserta's official draw confirmations and any player injury announcements in the days preceding 4 June. Italian clay-court venues occasionally experience rain delays in early June, though these typically result in rescheduling rather than cancellation. The absence of recent news regarding either player's fitness concerns suggests the market's confidence in match execution is grounded in baseline stability rather than specific positive indicators.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "ITF Caserta: Laura Pigossi vs Anastasia Tikhonova" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$14K in lifetime turnover and $0 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for tennis contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
Last 24 hours alone saw $14K in turnover, well above the lifetime daily-average for this market — a clear sign of news catalysing trader activity right now.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 11 June 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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