Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the tennis match between Tiago Pereira and Noah Lopez Cherubino in the ITF Men Bol, originally scheduled for May 28, 2026 at 7:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Tiago Pereira' if Tiago Pereira advances against Noah Lopez Cherubino. This market will resolve to 'Noah Lopez Cherubino' if Noah Lopez Cherubino advances against Tiago Pereira. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| ITF Bol: Tiago Pereira vs Noah Lopez Cherubino | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Completed Match | 100% YES | 0% NO |
Tiago Pereira faces Noah Lopez Cherubino in an ITF Men's tournament match at Bol, originally scheduled for 28 May 2026 at 7:00 AM ET. The current order book on Polymarket reflects a 100% implied probability for Pereira's advancement, suggesting either substantial backing from informed traders or limited liquidity at present pricing. Settlement occurs on 4 June 2026, allowing a week-long window for the match to conclude. Should the match not occur, end in a draw, or remain incomplete beyond seven days without resolution, the market settles at 50-50 parity.
ITF Men's circuit matches at lower-tier venues typically feature limited public information on player form and recent results. Historical patterns show that heavily skewed probabilities on ITF events often reflect either a significant disparity in player rankings or recent tournament performance rather than deep analytical consensus. The 100% reading warrants scrutiny—such extremes on Polymarket usually indicate thin order books rather than certainty about outcomes.
Key variables include confirmation of both players' participation and fitness status as the scheduled date approaches. ITF tournaments occasionally experience withdrawals or rescheduling due to player injuries or travel complications. Traders should monitor official ITF announcements and the tournament draw updates in the weeks preceding the match. Any withdrawal by either player before 28 May would trigger the cancellation clause, whilst delays extending beyond 4 June without completion would force the 50-50 settlement regardless of match progress.
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This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "ITF Bol: Tiago Pereira vs Noah Lopez Cherubino" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$316 in lifetime turnover and $0 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for tennis contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 4 June 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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