Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the tennis match between Despina Papamichail and Martha Matoula in the ITF Women Kursumlijska Banja, originally scheduled for May 29, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Despina Papamichail' if Despina Papamichail advances against Martha Matoula. This market will resolve to 'Martha Matoula' if Martha Matoula advances against Despina Papamichail. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| ITF Kursumlijska Banja: Despina Papamichail vs Martha Matoula | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Completed Match | 100% YES | 0% NO |
Despina Papamichail and Martha Matoula are scheduled to meet in the ITF Women's circuit event at Kursumlijska Banja on 29 May 2026. The match represents a lower-tier professional tennis encounter, with both players competing within the International Tennis Federation's secondary tour structure. The 0% implied probability on Polymarket's order book suggests either minimal liquidity in this particular market or a technical pricing anomaly, as even heavily favoured outcomes in tennis typically retain some residual probability to account for injury withdrawals, scheduling disruptions, or unexpected performance variance.
Historical ITF Women's matches at this venue and tier show considerable volatility in outcomes, particularly when player seeding information and recent form data remain sparse. The current crowd-implied probability reflects the absence of substantive order book depth rather than a confident consensus on the match outcome. Without recent tournament results, head-to-head records, or current ranking differentials readily available for these players, the market is pricing under conditions of genuine uncertainty masked by zero liquidity.
Traders should monitor official ITF tournament draws and player withdrawal announcements through late May, as schedule confirmations and last-minute scratches frequently alter match probabilities at this level. The settlement window extends to 5 June 2026, providing a seven-day buffer for delayed matches. Any confirmation of player injuries, travel disruptions, or tournament postponements would constitute material information. Current conditions suggest the market awaits substantive price discovery once liquidity providers engage with concrete match details.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "ITF Kursumlijska Banja: Despina Papamichail vs Martha Matoula" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$2K in lifetime turnover and $0 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for tennis contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 5 June 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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