Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the tennis match between Isabella De Micco Padula and Chiara Fornasieri in the ITF Women Monastir, originally scheduled for June 3, 2026 at 4:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Isabella De Micco Padula' if Isabella De Micco Padula advances against Chiara Fornasieri. This market will resolve to 'Chiara Fornasieri' if Chiara Fornasieri advances against Isabella De Micco Padula. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| ITF Monastir: Isabella De Micco Padula vs Chiara Fornasieri | 7% YES | 94% NO |
| Completed Match | 50% YES | 50% NO |
Isabella De Micco Padula faces Chiara Fornasieri in the ITF Women's tournament at Monastir, Tunisia, scheduled for early June 2026. The match represents a lower-tier professional tennis fixture on the International Tennis Federation circuit, where both players compete for ranking points and prize money. The current Polymarket order book reflects a 7% implied probability for De Micco Padula's victory, suggesting the market views Fornasieri as the clear favourite.
ITF Women's matches at this level typically feature players ranked outside the WTA's top 200, where form fluctuates considerably and head-to-head records carry limited predictive weight. De Micco Padula's 7% probability aligns with patterns seen when one player holds a significant ranking advantage or recent tournament performance edge. Without established match history between these competitors, the probability likely reflects their respective ITF rankings, recent win-loss records, and surface performance on clay courts, where Monastir events are traditionally held.
Traders should monitor tournament draw confirmations and any late withdrawals, which occur regularly at ITF level due to injuries or scheduling conflicts. The settlement window extends to 10 June, allowing seven days beyond the scheduled date for match completion. Surface conditions and weather delays are common variables at North African venues. Recent ITF results for both players—particularly performances in the weeks immediately preceding the tournament—will provide the most reliable indicator of shifting probabilities on the order book before the match commences.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "ITF Monastir: Isabella De Micco Padula vs Chiara Fornasieri" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$5 in lifetime turnover and $514 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for tennis contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
Last 24 hours alone saw $5 in turnover, well above the lifetime daily-average for this market — a clear sign of news catalysing trader activity right now.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 10 June 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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