Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the tennis match between Jazmin Ortenzi and Beatrice Ricci in the ITF Women Caserta, originally scheduled for June 3, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Jazmin Ortenzi' if Jazmin Ortenzi advances against Beatrice Ricci. This market will resolve to 'Beatrice Ricci' if Beatrice Ricci advances against Jazmin Ortenzi. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| ITF Caserta: Jazmin Ortenzi vs Beatrice Ricci | 69% YES | 32% NO |
| Completed Match | 50% YES | 50% NO |
Jazmin Ortenzi faces Beatrice Ricci in the ITF Women's tournament at Caserta, scheduled for 3 June 2026. The match is set for 5:00 AM ET, with settlement occurring by 10 June 2026. Current order book pricing on Polymarket reflects a 69% implied probability for Ortenzi's advancement, suggesting the market views her as a clear favourite in this encounter.
Both players compete regularly on the ITF circuit, where match outcomes depend heavily on recent form, surface adaptation, and head-to-head records. Ortenzi's pricing advantage likely reflects superior recent results or ranking position, though ITF tournaments frequently produce upsets given the competitive depth at this level. Comparable ITF women's matches on Polymarket typically settle within the 55–75% range for favoured players, positioning this market's current probability within normal parameters for a clear but not overwhelming favourite.
Traders should monitor official ITF tournament schedules and any player withdrawal announcements through the WTA or ITF websites in the week preceding 3 June. Surface conditions at the Caserta venue—typically clay—may favour particular playing styles. Schedule delays or weather disruptions could trigger the 7-day extension clause, which would shift settlement to a 50-50 outcome if no winner emerges by 10 June. Any late injury reports or ranking changes affecting either player's confidence could shift the order book before match commencement.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "ITF Caserta: Jazmin Ortenzi vs Beatrice Ricci" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$28 in lifetime turnover and $2K of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for tennis contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
Last 24 hours alone saw $28 in turnover, well above the lifetime daily-average for this market — a clear sign of news catalysing trader activity right now.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 10 June 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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