Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the tennis match between Kitti Molnar and Julia Adams in the ITF Women Szentendre, originally scheduled for May 28, 2026 at 6:15AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Kitti Molnar' if Kitti Molnar advances against Julia Adams. This market will resolve to 'Julia Adams' if Julia Adams advances against Kitti Molnar. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| ITF Szentendre: Kitti Molnar vs Julia Adams | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Completed Match | 100% YES | 0% NO |
Kitti Molnar, a Hungarian ITF competitor, faces Julia Adams in a Women's ITF tournament match scheduled for 28 May 2026 in Szentendre. The match is set for 6:15 AM ET. On Polymarket's order book, the current crowd-implied probability stands at 0% YES, indicating that traders are pricing Molnar's advancement as effectively certain or that the market has seen minimal activity and failed to establish meaningful two-sided liquidity at the outset.
ITF Women's matches at this tier typically reflect significant disparities in player ranking, win-loss records, or recent form. A 0% implied probability suggests either a substantial gap in the players' competitive levels based on recent ITF rankings and head-to-head records, or extremely thin order-book depth that has not yet attracted contrarian bets. Historical ITF tournament data shows that when one player enters with a markedly higher ranking or recent winning streak, markets often begin with skewed probabilities that can shift once traders assess the specific matchup details and surface conditions.
Key catalysts for market movement include confirmation of both players' participation as the match date approaches, any injury announcements or withdrawal notices, and updated ITF rankings in the weeks before 28 May. Traders should monitor the ITF Women's circuit schedule for schedule changes or venue updates. The settlement window closes 4 June 2026, allowing seven days beyond the scheduled date for the match to be completed; any delay beyond that triggers a 50-50 resolution. Current liquidity appears minimal, so early traders entering positions should expect wider spreads until the market develops deeper order-book activity.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "ITF Szentendre: Kitti Molnar vs Julia Adams" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$1K in lifetime turnover and $0 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for tennis contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 4 June 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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