Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the tennis match between Elena Milovanovic and Valeriya Strakhova in the ITF Women Kursumlijska Banja, originally scheduled for May 27, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Elena Milovanovic' if Elena Milovanovic advances against Valeriya Strakhova. This market will resolve to 'Valeriya Strakhova' if Valeriya Strakhova advances against Elena Milovanovic. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| ITF Kursumlijska Banja: Elena Milovanovic vs Valeriya Strakhova | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Completed Match | 100% YES | 0% NO |
Elena Milovanovic faces Valeriya Strakhova in the ITF Women's tournament at Kursumlijska Banja, scheduled for 27 May 2026. The match is currently priced at 100% implied probability on Polymarket's order book, indicating either a heavily one-sided assessment or minimal liquidity depth at current price levels. With settlement closing 7 June 2026, traders have a narrow window to assess match outcomes and any potential scheduling disruptions.
ITF Women's events at this tier typically feature players ranked outside the WTA top 200, with match outcomes heavily influenced by recent form, surface adaptation, and head-to-head records. Milovanovic and Strakhova's career trajectories on clay courts—the surface at Kursumlijska Banja—warrant examination against their respective win rates at comparable tournaments. Historical ITF matches at this venue show cancellation rates below 5%, though weather delays in late May across Serbia remain a consideration given the settlement window's strict seven-day boundary.
Traders should monitor ITF official draw confirmations and any player withdrawal announcements in the week preceding the match. Recent injury reports or late withdrawals from either player would trigger immediate repricing. The extreme probability reading suggests either the market has crystallised strong conviction around one player, or order book depth remains shallow. Confirmation of both players' participation and final draw seeding closer to the scheduled date will be critical catalysts for any meaningful position adjustment.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "ITF Kursumlijska Banja: Elena Milovanovic vs Valeriya Strakhova" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$3K in lifetime turnover and $0 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for tennis contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 3 June 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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