Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the tennis match between Emma Mazzoni and Miroslava Shitaia in the ITF Women Monastir, originally scheduled for May 27, 2026 at 8:15AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Emma Mazzoni' if Emma Mazzoni advances against Miroslava Shitaia. This market will resolve to 'Miroslava Shitaia' if Miroslava Shitaia advances against Emma Mazzoni. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| ITF Monastir: Emma Mazzoni vs Miroslava Shitaia | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Completed Match | 100% YES | 0% NO |
Emma Mazzoni, an Italian ITF competitor, faces Miroslava Shitaia in the women's draw at the ITF Monastir tournament in Tunisia, scheduled for 27 May 2026. The match is currently priced at 100% implied probability for Mazzoni's advancement on Polymarket's order book, reflecting either extreme confidence in her progression or minimal liquidity at current price levels. Settlement occurs by 3 June 2026, allowing a six-day window for match completion.
ITF Women's circuit matches at Monastir typically proceed as scheduled given the tournament's established infrastructure and stable venue conditions. Historical precedent suggests that matches at this tier rarely encounter cancellations; however, player withdrawals due to injury or illness remain a material risk factor. Comparable lower-ranked women's ITF matchups show that upsets occur regularly—approximately 30–40% of matches feature the lower-ranked player advancing—though Mazzoni's specific ranking relative to Shitaia's would determine baseline expectations.
Traders should monitor official ITF and tournament communications for any scheduling changes or player withdrawals in the days preceding 27 May. Weather conditions in Tunisia during late May are generally stable, reducing force majeure risk. The settlement window's seven-day buffer provides protection against minor delays, though matches abandoned mid-play after one set completion would resolve according to the advancement rule rather than the tie-break clause. Current pricing suggests the market is either heavily weighted toward Mazzoni or lacks sufficient order-book depth to establish a competitive spread.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "ITF Monastir: Emma Mazzoni vs Miroslava Shitaia" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$15 in lifetime turnover and $0 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for tennis contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 3 June 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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