Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the tennis match between Duje Markovina and Iannis Miletich in the ITF Men Bol, originally scheduled for May 26, 2026 at 9:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Duje Markovina' if Duje Markovina advances against Iannis Miletich. This market will resolve to 'Iannis Miletich' if Iannis Miletich advances against Duje Markovina. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| ITF Bol: Duje Markovina vs Iannis Miletich | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Completed Match | 100% YES | 0% NO |
Duje Markovina faces Iannis Miletich in an ITF Men's tournament match scheduled for 26 May 2026 at the Bol venue. The market currently reflects a 100% implied probability on the order book, suggesting either strong conviction in match completion or minimal liquidity depth at current pricing. Settlement occurs on 2 June 2026, allowing a seven-day window for the match to conclude; any cancellation, tie, or delay beyond that threshold triggers a 50-50 resolution.
ITF Men's circuit matches at this tier typically proceed as scheduled unless weather or player withdrawal intervenes. Historical patterns show Croatian players competing regularly on the ITF circuit, whilst Miletich's recent form and ranking position relative to Markovina would normally inform probability distribution. The current 100% reading on Polymarket's order book likely reflects either a single large position or sparse counter-liquidity rather than genuine certainty about match outcome. Traders should note that ITF scheduling occasionally shifts due to draw complications or player injury, though formal cancellations remain uncommon once matches are published in official draws.
Key catalysts include official ITF draw confirmation closer to the event date and any player withdrawal announcements through ATP or ITF channels. Weather conditions in Bol during late May could affect scheduling, though indoor facilities sometimes mitigate delays. Traders monitoring this market should watch for draw updates and player injury reports in the fortnight preceding 26 May, as these typically precede match cancellations on the lower-tier professional circuit.
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This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "ITF Bol: Duje Markovina vs Iannis Miletich" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$71 in lifetime turnover and $0 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for tennis contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 2 June 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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