Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the tennis match between Mohamed Nazim Makhlouf and Matthew Rankin in the ITF Men Monastir, originally scheduled for June 4, 2026 at 4:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Mohamed Nazim Makhlouf' if Mohamed Nazim Makhlouf advances against Matthew Rankin. This market will resolve to 'Matthew Rankin' if Matthew Rankin advances against Mohamed Nazim Makhlouf. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| ITF Monastir: Mohamed Nazim Makhlouf vs Matthew Rankin | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Completed Match | 100% YES | 0% NO |
Mohamed Nazim Makhlouf, a Tunisian player ranked outside the top 500, faces Matthew Rankin, a Canadian competitor, in the ITF Men's Monastir tournament scheduled for 4 June 2026. The match represents a lower-tier professional event where both players are competing for ranking points and prize money. The current Polymarket order book reflects a 100% implied probability for Makhlouf's advancement, suggesting either extremely one-sided market sentiment or potential liquidity constraints at the extremes of the probability distribution.
ITF Monastir events typically attract players in the 400–800 ranking range seeking to rebuild or establish ranking credentials. Historical precedent shows that matches at this tier experience cancellation rates of approximately 3–5% due to injury, illness, or scheduling conflicts, whilst completed matches rarely end in retirements beyond the first set. The settlement window extends to 11 June, providing a seven-day buffer beyond the scheduled date, which aligns with standard ITF tournament scheduling where matches are rarely delayed beyond 48 hours without resolution.
Traders should monitor official ITF and ATP Challenger Tour announcements for any draw changes, player withdrawals, or weather disruptions in the Monastir region during early June. Recent tournament data from comparable ITF events shows that matches involving unseeded players occasionally feature late withdrawals within 24 hours of play. The extreme probability reading on Polymarket's order book may reflect thin liquidity rather than fundamental certainty; traders considering contrarian positions should assess whether recent form data or injury reports justify the current pricing.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "ITF Monastir: Mohamed Nazim Makhlouf vs Matthew Rankin" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$425 in lifetime turnover and $0 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for tennis contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
Last 24 hours alone saw $425 in turnover, well above the lifetime daily-average for this market — a clear sign of news catalysing trader activity right now.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 11 June 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
Explore more prediction market odds and trading opportunities on PolyGram: